Classical network reliability problems assume both net- works and components have only binary states, fully working or fully failed states. But many actual networks are multi-state, such as communication networks and ...Classical network reliability problems assume both net- works and components have only binary states, fully working or fully failed states. But many actual networks are multi-state, such as communication networks and transportation networks. The nodes and arcs in the networks may be in intermediate states which are not fully working either fully failed. A simulation ap- proach for computing the two-terminal reliability of a multi-state network is described. Two-terminal reliability is defined as the probability that d units of demand can be supplied from the source to sink nodes under the time threshold T. The capacities of arcs may be in a stochastic state following any discrete or continuous distribution. The transmission time of each arc is also not a fixed number but stochastic according to its current capacity and de- mand. To solve this problem, a capacitated stochastic coloured Petri net is proposed for modelling the system behaviour. Places and transitions respectively stand for the nodes and arcs of a net- work. Capacitated transition and self-modified token colour with route information are defined to describe the multi-state network. By the simulation, the two-terminal reliability and node importance can be estimated and the optimal route whose reliability is highest can also be given. Finally, two examples of different kinds of multi- state networks are given.展开更多
The published article titled“Comparison of Structural Probabilistic and Non-Probabilistic Reliability Computational Methods under Big Data Condition”[1]has been retracted from Structural Durability&Health Monito...The published article titled“Comparison of Structural Probabilistic and Non-Probabilistic Reliability Computational Methods under Big Data Condition”[1]has been retracted from Structural Durability&Health Monitoring(SDHM),Vol.16,No.2,2022,pp.129–143.展开更多
The novel structural reliability methodology presented in this study is especially well suited for multidimensional structural dynamics that are physically measured or numerically simulated over a representative timel...The novel structural reliability methodology presented in this study is especially well suited for multidimensional structural dynamics that are physically measured or numerically simulated over a representative timelapse.The Gaidai multivariate reliability method is applied to an operational offshore Jacket platform that operates in Bohai Bay.This study demonstrates the feasibility of this method to accurately estimate collapse risks in dynamic systems under in situ environmental stressors.Modern reliability approaches do not cope easily with the high dimensionality of real engineering dynamic systems,as well as nonlinear intercorrelations between various structural components.The Jacket offshore platform is chosen as the case study for this reliability analysis because of the presence of various hotspot stresses that synchronously arise in its structural parts.The authors provide a straightforward,precise method for estimating overall risks of operational failure,damage,or hazard for nonlinear multidimensional dynamic systems.The latter tool is important for offshore engineers during the design stage.展开更多
The Internet of Things (IoT) integrates diverse devices into the Internet infrastructure, including sensors, meters, and wearable devices. Designing efficient IoT networks with these heterogeneous devices requires the...The Internet of Things (IoT) integrates diverse devices into the Internet infrastructure, including sensors, meters, and wearable devices. Designing efficient IoT networks with these heterogeneous devices requires the selection of appropriate routing protocols, which is crucial for maintaining high Quality of Service (QoS). The Internet Engineering Task Force’s Routing Over Low Power and Lossy Networks (IETF ROLL) working group developed the IPv6 Routing Protocol for Low Power and Lossy Networks (RPL) to meet these needs. While the initial RPL standard focused on single-metric route selection, ongoing research explores enhancing RPL by incorporating multiple routing metrics and developing new Objective Functions (OFs). This paper introduces a novel Objective Function (OF), the Reliable and Secure Objective Function (RSOF), designed to enhance the reliability and trustworthiness of parent selection at both the node and link levels within IoT and RPL routing protocols. The RSOF employs an adaptive parent node selection mechanism that incorporates multiple metrics, including Residual Energy (RE), Expected Transmission Count (ETX), Extended RPL Node Trustworthiness (ERNT), and a novel metric that measures node failure rate (NFR). In this mechanism, nodes with a high NFR are excluded from the parent selection process to improve network reliability and stability. The proposed RSOF was evaluated using random and grid topologies in the Cooja Simulator, with tests conducted across small, medium, and large-scale networks to examine the impact of varying node densities. The simulation results indicate a significant improvement in network performance, particularly in terms of average latency, packet acknowledgment ratio (PAR), packet delivery ratio (PDR), and Control Message Overhead (CMO), compared to the standard Minimum Rank with Hysteresis Objective Function (MRHOF).展开更多
The deepwater subsea wellhead(SW)system is the foundation for the construction of oil and gas wells and the crucial channel for operation.During riser connection operation,the SW system is subjected to cyclic dynamic ...The deepwater subsea wellhead(SW)system is the foundation for the construction of oil and gas wells and the crucial channel for operation.During riser connection operation,the SW system is subjected to cyclic dynamic loads which cause fatigue damage to the SW system,and continuously accumulated fatigue damage leads to fatigue failure of the SW system,rupture,and even blowout accidents.This paper proposes a hybrid Bayesian network(HBN)-based dynamic reliability assessment approach for deepwater SW systems during their service life.In the proposed approach,the relationship between the accumulation of fatigue damage and the fatigue failure probability of the SW system is predicted,only considering normal conditions.The HBN model,which includes the accumulation of fatigue damage under normal conditions and the other factors affecting the fatigue of the SW system,is subsequently developed.When predictive and diagnostic analysis techniques are adopted,the dynamic reliability of the SW system is achieved,and the most influential factors are determined.Finally,corresponding safety control measures are proposed to improve the reliability of the SW system effectively.The results illustrate that the fatigue failure speed increases rapidly when the accumulation fatigue damage is larger than 0.45 under normal conditions and that the reliability of the SW system is larger than 94%within the design life.展开更多
Thetraditional first-order reliability method(FORM)often encounters challengeswith non-convergence of results or excessive calculation when analyzing complex engineering problems.To improve the global convergence spee...Thetraditional first-order reliability method(FORM)often encounters challengeswith non-convergence of results or excessive calculation when analyzing complex engineering problems.To improve the global convergence speed of structural reliability analysis,an improved coati optimization algorithm(COA)is proposed in this paper.In this study,the social learning strategy is used to improve the coati optimization algorithm(SL-COA),which improves the convergence speed and robustness of the newheuristic optimization algorithm.Then,the SL-COAis comparedwith the latest heuristic optimization algorithms such as the original COA,whale optimization algorithm(WOA),and osprey optimization algorithm(OOA)in the CEC2005 and CEC2017 test function sets and two engineering optimization design examples.The optimization results show that the proposed SL-COA algorithm has a high competitiveness.Secondly,this study introduces the SL-COA algorithm into the MPP(Most Probable Point)search process based on FORM and constructs a new reliability analysis method.Finally,the proposed reliability analysis method is verified by four mathematical examples and two engineering examples.The results show that the proposed SL-COA-assisted FORM exhibits fast convergence and avoids premature convergence to local optima as demonstrated by its successful application to problems such as composite cylinder design and support bracket analysis.展开更多
This study examines various issues arising in three-phase unbalanced power distribution networks(PDNs)using a comprehensive optimization approach.With the integration of renewable energy sources,increasing energy dema...This study examines various issues arising in three-phase unbalanced power distribution networks(PDNs)using a comprehensive optimization approach.With the integration of renewable energy sources,increasing energy demands,and the adoption of smart grid technologies,power systems are undergoing a rapid transformation,making the need for efficient,reliable,and sustainable distribution networks increasingly critical.In this paper,the reconfiguration problem in a 37-bus unbalanced PDN test system is solved using five different popular metaheuristic algorithms.Among these advanced search algorithms,the Bonobo Optimizer(BO)has demonstrated superior performance in handling the complexities of unbalanced power distribution network optimization.The study is structured around four distinct scenarios:(Ⅰ)improving mean voltage profile and minimizing active power loss,(Ⅱ)minimizing Voltage Unbalance Index(VUI)and Current Unbalance Index(CUI),(Ⅲ)optimizing key reliability indices using both Line Oriented Reliability Index(LORI)and Customer Oriented Reliability Index(CORI)approaches,and(Ⅳ)employing multi-objective optimization using the Pareto front technique to simultaneously minimize active power loss,average CUI,and System Average Interruption Duration Index(SAIDI).The study aims to contribute to the development of more efficient,reliable,and sustainable energy systems by addressing voltage profiles,power losses,reduction of imbalance,and the enhancement of reliability together.展开更多
Recently,artificial synapses involving an electrochemical reaction of Li-ion have been attributed to have remarkable synaptic properties.Three-terminal synaptic transistors utilizing Li-ion intercalation exhibits reli...Recently,artificial synapses involving an electrochemical reaction of Li-ion have been attributed to have remarkable synaptic properties.Three-terminal synaptic transistors utilizing Li-ion intercalation exhibits reliable synaptic characteristics by exploiting the advantage of nondistributed weight updates owing to stable ion migrations.However,the three-terminal configurations with large and complex structures impede the crossbar array implementation required for hardware neuromorphic systems.Meanwhile,achieving adequate synaptic performances through effective Li-ion intercalation in vertical two-terminal synaptic devices for array integration remains challenging.Here,two-terminal Au/LixCoO_(2)/Pt artificial synapses are proposed with the potential for practical implementation of hardware neural networks.The Au/LixCoO_(2)/Pt devices demonstrated extraordinary neuromorphic behaviors based on a progressive dearth of Li in LixCoO_(2)films.The intercalation and deintercalation of Li-ion inside the films are precisely controlled over the weight control spike,resulting in improved weight control functionality.Various types of synaptic plasticity were imitated and assessed in terms of key factors such as nonlinearity,symmetricity,and dynamic range.Notably,the LixCoO_(2)-based neuromorphic system outperformed three-terminal synaptic transistors in simulations of convolutional neural networks and multilayer perceptrons due to the high linearity and low programming error.These impressive performances suggest the vertical two-terminal Au/LixCoO_(2)/Pt artificial synapses as promising candidates for hardware neural networks.展开更多
Reliability-based design optimization （RBDO） is intrinsically a double-loop procedure since it involves an overall optimization and an iterative reliability assessment at each search point. Due to the double-loop pr...Reliability-based design optimization （RBDO） is intrinsically a double-loop procedure since it involves an overall optimization and an iterative reliability assessment at each search point. Due to the double-loop procedure, the computational expense of RBDO is normally very high. Current RBDO research focuses on problems with explicitly expressed performance functions and readily available gradients. This paper addresses a more challenging type of RBDO problem in which the performance functions are computation intensive. These computation intensive functions are often considered as a ＂black-box＂ and their gradients are not available or not reliable. On the basis of the reliable design space （RDS） concept proposed earlier by the authors, this paper proposes a Reliable Space Pursuing （RSP） approach, in which RDS is first identified and then gradually refined while optimization is performed. It fundamentally avoids the nested optimization and probabilistic assessment loop. Three well known RBDO problems from the literature are used for testing and demonstrating the effectiveness of the proposed RSP method.展开更多
The reliability evaluation of a multistate network is primarily based on d-minimal paths/cuts(d-MPs/d-MCs).However,being a nondeterminism polynomial hard(NP-hard)problem,searching for all d-MPs is a rather challenging...The reliability evaluation of a multistate network is primarily based on d-minimal paths/cuts(d-MPs/d-MCs).However,being a nondeterminism polynomial hard(NP-hard)problem,searching for all d-MPs is a rather challenging task.In existing implicit enumeration algorithms based on minimal paths(MPs),duplicate d-MP candidates may be generated.An extra step is needed to locate and remove these duplicate d-MP candidates,which costs significant computational effort.This paper proposes an efficient method to prevent the generation of duplicate d-MP candidates for implicit enumeration algorithms for d-MPs.First,the mechanism of generating duplicate d-MP candidates in the implicit enumeration algorithms is discussed.Second,a direct and efficient avoiding-duplicates method is proposed.Third,an improved algorithm is developed,followed by complexity analysis and illustrative examples.Based on the computational experiments comparing with two existing algorithms,it is found that the proposed method can significantly improve the efficiency of generating d-MPs for a particular demand level d.展开更多
AIM: To assess the inter-observer agreement and reliability as well as intra-observer repeatability for lacrimal scintigraphy(LS) reports with and without considering the irrigation test results.METHODS: A prospective...AIM: To assess the inter-observer agreement and reliability as well as intra-observer repeatability for lacrimal scintigraphy(LS) reports with and without considering the irrigation test results.METHODS: A prospective, observational, cross sectional study. Two masked clinicians(lacrimal surgeon and nuclear medicine specialist) independently reported 100 LS images(50 patients of >6 years of age with unilateral anophthalmic socket) in a university hospital. The lacrimal surgeon performed a diagnostic irrigation test and repeated the report of the same LS images 2 y after the first report(intra-observer agreement). A weighted Kappa analysis was performed to determine inter-observer agreement and reliability as well as intra-observer repeatability for the type(normal, partial and complete obstruction) and location(presac, preduct, and intraduct) of the obstruction. Subgroup analysis was also performed with consideration of irrigation test results. RESULTS: A significantly moderate agreement was found between lacrimal surgeon and nuclear medicine specialist for both the type(Kappa=0.55) and location(Kappa=0.48) of obstruction. Agreement values were higher for the type(Kappa=0.61 vs 0.41) and location(Kappa=0.56 vs 0.31) of obstruction in cases with normal than abnormal irrigation test. Strong and significant intraobserver(lacrimal surgeon) repeatability was found for both the type(Kappa=0.66) and location(Kappa=0.69) of obstruction. LS showed no to slight reliability based on irrigation test.CONCLUSION: A moderate agreement is found between lacrimal surgeon and nuclear medicine specialist regarding the interpretation of LS suggesting the importance ofconsensus groups among nuclear medicine specialists and lacrimal surgeons to create a common language for interpretation of LS. Intra-observer repeatability is strong for the lacrimal surgeon.展开更多
This paper systematically introduces and reviews a scientific exploration of reliability called the belief reliability.Beginning with the origin of reliability engineering,the problems of present theories for reliabil...This paper systematically introduces and reviews a scientific exploration of reliability called the belief reliability.Beginning with the origin of reliability engineering,the problems of present theories for reliability engineering are summarized as a query,a dilemma,and a puzzle.Then,through philosophical reflection,we introduce the theoretical solutions given by belief reliability theory,including scientific principles,basic equations,reliability science experiments,and mathematical measures.The basic methods and technologies of belief reliability,namely,belief reliability analysis,function-oriented belief reliability design,belief reliability evaluation,and several newly developed methods and technologies are sequentially elaborated and overviewed.Based on the above investigations,we summarize the significance of belief reliability theory and make some prospects about future research,aiming to promote the development of reliability science and engineering.展开更多
This paper introduces a novel approach for parameter sensitivity evaluation and efficient slope reliability analysis based on quantile-based first-order second-moment method(QFOSM).The core principles of the QFOSM are...This paper introduces a novel approach for parameter sensitivity evaluation and efficient slope reliability analysis based on quantile-based first-order second-moment method(QFOSM).The core principles of the QFOSM are elucidated geometrically from the perspective of expanding ellipsoids.Based on this geometric interpretation,the QFOSM is further extended to estimate sensitivity indices and assess the significance of various uncertain parameters involved in the slope system.The proposed method has the advantage of computational simplicity,akin to the conventional first-order second-moment method(FOSM),while providing estimation accuracy close to that of the first-order reliability method(FORM).Its performance is demonstrated with a numerical example and three slope examples.The results show that the proposed method can efficiently estimate the slope reliability and simultaneously evaluate the sensitivity of the uncertain parameters.The proposed method does not involve complex optimization or iteration required by the FORM.It can provide a valuable complement to the existing approximate reliability analysis methods,offering rapid sensitivity evaluation and slope reliability analysis.展开更多
Probabilistic back-analysis is an important means to infer the statistics of uncertain soil parameters,making the slope reliability assessment closer to the engineering reality.However,multi-source information(includi...Probabilistic back-analysis is an important means to infer the statistics of uncertain soil parameters,making the slope reliability assessment closer to the engineering reality.However,multi-source information(including test data,monitored data,field observation and slope survival records)is rarely used in current probabilistic back-analysis.Conducting the probabilistic back-analysis of spatially varying soil parameters and slope reliability prediction under rainfalls by integrating multi-source information is a challenging task since thousands of random variables and high-dimensional likelihood function are usually involved.In this paper,a framework by integrating a modified Bayesian Updating with Subset simulation(mBUS)method with adaptive Conditional Sampling(aCS)algorithm is established for the probabilistic back-analysis of spatially varying soil parameters and slope reliability prediction.Within this framework,the high-dimensional probabilistic back-analysis problem can be easily tackled,and the multi-source information(e.g.monitored pressure heads and slope survival records)can be fully used in the back-analysis.A real Taoyuan landslide case in Taiwan,China is investigated to illustrate the effectiveness and performance of the established framework.The findings show that the posterior knowledge of soil parameters obtained from the established framework is in good agreement with the field observations.Furthermore,the updated knowledge of soil parameters can be utilized to reliably predict the occurrence probability of a landslide caused by the heavy rainfall event on September 12,2004 or forecast the potential landslides under future rainfalls in the Fuhsing District of Taoyuan City,Taiwan,China.展开更多
For high-reliability systems in military,aerospace,and railway fields,the challenges of reliability analysis lie in dealing with unclear failure mechanisms,complex fault relationships,lack of fault data,and uncertaint...For high-reliability systems in military,aerospace,and railway fields,the challenges of reliability analysis lie in dealing with unclear failure mechanisms,complex fault relationships,lack of fault data,and uncertainty of fault states.To overcome these problems,this paper proposes a reliability analysismethod based on T-S fault tree analysis(T-S FTA)and Hyper-ellipsoidal Bayesian network(HE-BN).The method describes the connection between the various systemfault events by T-S fuzzy gates and translates them into a Bayesian network(BN)model.Combining the advantages of T-S fault tree modeling with the advantages of Bayesian network computation,a reliability modeling method is proposed that can fully reflect the fault characteristics of complex systems.Experts describe the degree of failure of the event in the form of interval numbers.The knowledge and experience of experts are fused with the D-S evidence theory to obtain the initial failure probability interval of the BN root node.Then,the Hyper-ellipsoidal model(HM)constrains the initial failure probability interval and constructs a HE-BN for the system.A reliability analysismethod is proposed to solve the problem of insufficient failure data and uncertainty in the degree of failure.The failure probability of the system is further calculated and the key components that affect the system’s reliability are identified.The proposedmethod accounts for the uncertainty and incompleteness of the failure data in complex multi-state systems and establishes an easily computable reliability model that fully reflects the characteristics of complex faults and accurately identifies system weaknesses.The feasibility and accuracy of the method are further verified by conducting case studies.展开更多
After a criticism on today’s model for electrical noise in resistors, we pass to use a Quantum-compliant model based on the discreteness of electrical charge in a complex Admittance. From this new model we show that ...After a criticism on today’s model for electrical noise in resistors, we pass to use a Quantum-compliant model based on the discreteness of electrical charge in a complex Admittance. From this new model we show that carrier drift viewed as charged particle motion in response to an electric field is unlike to occur in bulk regions of Solid-State devices where carriers react as dipoles against this field. The absence of the shot noise that charges drifting in resistors should produce and the evolution of the Phase Noise with the active power existing in the resonators of L-C oscillators, are two effects added in proof for this conduction model without carrier drift where the resistance of any two-terminal device becomes discrete and has a minimum value per carrier that is the Quantum Hall resistance Rk=h/q2展开更多
The detrimental effect of imprint,which can cause misreading problem,has hindered the application of ferroelectric HfO_(2).In this work,we present results of a comprehensive reliability evaluation of Hf_(0.5)Zr_(0.5)O...The detrimental effect of imprint,which can cause misreading problem,has hindered the application of ferroelectric HfO_(2).In this work,we present results of a comprehensive reliability evaluation of Hf_(0.5)Zr_(0.5)O_(2)-based ferroelectric random access memory.The influence of imprint on the retention and endurance is demonstrated.Furthermore,a solution in circuity is pro-posed to effectively solve the misreading problem caused by imprint.展开更多
1 Summary With the advancement of science and technology,complex engineering structures are widely used in extreme environments[1].In equipment service,many uncertainty factors significantly affect safety and reliabil...1 Summary With the advancement of science and technology,complex engineering structures are widely used in extreme environments[1].In equipment service,many uncertainty factors significantly affect safety and reliability[2–5].Therefore,ensuring high reliability of structures has become an important research direction in engineering design.At the same time,the importance of equipment health management of complex engineering structures is becoming increasingly prominent[6–8].Computer-aided uncertainty modeling and reliability assessment have become key tools,and finite element simulation and algorithmic innovation play a key role in the reliability analysis of complex equipment[9,10].These techniques can accurately simulate stress and damage accumulation under various operating environments,providing engineers with important decision support and optimization solutions.展开更多
Interrater reliability (IRR) statistics, like Cohen’s kappa, measure agreement between raters beyond what is expected by chance when classifying items into categories. While Cohen’s kappa has been widely used, it ha...Interrater reliability (IRR) statistics, like Cohen’s kappa, measure agreement between raters beyond what is expected by chance when classifying items into categories. While Cohen’s kappa has been widely used, it has several limitations, prompting development of Gwet’s agreement statistic, an alternative “kappa”statistic which models chance agreement via an “occasional guessing” model. However, we show that Gwet’s formula for estimating the proportion of agreement due to chance is itself biased for intermediate levels of agreement, despite overcoming limitations of Cohen’s kappa at high and low agreement levels. We derive a maximum likelihood estimator for the occasional guessing model that yields an unbiased estimator of the IRR, which we call the maximum likelihood kappa (κML). The key result is that the chance agreement probability under the occasional guessing model is simply equal to the observed rate of disagreement between raters. The κMLstatistic provides a theoretically principled approach to quantifying IRR that addresses limitations of previous κcoefficients. Given the widespread use of IRR measures, having an unbiased estimator is important for reliable inference across domains where rater judgments are analyzed.展开更多
The increasing demand for industrial automation and intelligence has put forward higher requirements for the reliability of industrial wireless communication technology.As an international standard based on 802.11,Wir...The increasing demand for industrial automation and intelligence has put forward higher requirements for the reliability of industrial wireless communication technology.As an international standard based on 802.11,Wireless networks for Industrial Automation-Factory Automation(WIA-FA)greatly improves the reliability in factory automation scenarios by Time Division Multiple Access(TDMA).However,in ultra-dense WIA-FA networks with mobile users,the basic connection management mechanism is inefficient.Most of the handover and resource management algorithms are all based on frequency division multiplexing,not suitable for the TDMA in the WIA-FA network.Therefore,we propose Load-aware Connection Management(LACM)algorithm to adjust the linkage and balance the load of access devices to avoid blocking and improve the reliability of the system.And then we simulate the algorithm to find the optimal settings of the parameters.After comparing with other existing algorithms,the result of the simulation proves that LACM is more efficient in reliability and maintains high reliability of more than 99.8%even in the ultra-dense moving scenario with 1500 field devices.Besides,this algorithm ensures that only a few signaling exchanges are required to ensure load bal-ancing,which is no more than 5 times,and less than half of the best state-of-the-art algorithm.展开更多
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (70971132)
文摘Classical network reliability problems assume both net- works and components have only binary states, fully working or fully failed states. But many actual networks are multi-state, such as communication networks and transportation networks. The nodes and arcs in the networks may be in intermediate states which are not fully working either fully failed. A simulation ap- proach for computing the two-terminal reliability of a multi-state network is described. Two-terminal reliability is defined as the probability that d units of demand can be supplied from the source to sink nodes under the time threshold T. The capacities of arcs may be in a stochastic state following any discrete or continuous distribution. The transmission time of each arc is also not a fixed number but stochastic according to its current capacity and de- mand. To solve this problem, a capacitated stochastic coloured Petri net is proposed for modelling the system behaviour. Places and transitions respectively stand for the nodes and arcs of a net- work. Capacitated transition and self-modified token colour with route information are defined to describe the multi-state network. By the simulation, the two-terminal reliability and node importance can be estimated and the optimal route whose reliability is highest can also be given. Finally, two examples of different kinds of multi- state networks are given.
文摘The published article titled“Comparison of Structural Probabilistic and Non-Probabilistic Reliability Computational Methods under Big Data Condition”[1]has been retracted from Structural Durability&Health Monitoring(SDHM),Vol.16,No.2,2022,pp.129–143.
文摘The novel structural reliability methodology presented in this study is especially well suited for multidimensional structural dynamics that are physically measured or numerically simulated over a representative timelapse.The Gaidai multivariate reliability method is applied to an operational offshore Jacket platform that operates in Bohai Bay.This study demonstrates the feasibility of this method to accurately estimate collapse risks in dynamic systems under in situ environmental stressors.Modern reliability approaches do not cope easily with the high dimensionality of real engineering dynamic systems,as well as nonlinear intercorrelations between various structural components.The Jacket offshore platform is chosen as the case study for this reliability analysis because of the presence of various hotspot stresses that synchronously arise in its structural parts.The authors provide a straightforward,precise method for estimating overall risks of operational failure,damage,or hazard for nonlinear multidimensional dynamic systems.The latter tool is important for offshore engineers during the design stage.
文摘The Internet of Things (IoT) integrates diverse devices into the Internet infrastructure, including sensors, meters, and wearable devices. Designing efficient IoT networks with these heterogeneous devices requires the selection of appropriate routing protocols, which is crucial for maintaining high Quality of Service (QoS). The Internet Engineering Task Force’s Routing Over Low Power and Lossy Networks (IETF ROLL) working group developed the IPv6 Routing Protocol for Low Power and Lossy Networks (RPL) to meet these needs. While the initial RPL standard focused on single-metric route selection, ongoing research explores enhancing RPL by incorporating multiple routing metrics and developing new Objective Functions (OFs). This paper introduces a novel Objective Function (OF), the Reliable and Secure Objective Function (RSOF), designed to enhance the reliability and trustworthiness of parent selection at both the node and link levels within IoT and RPL routing protocols. The RSOF employs an adaptive parent node selection mechanism that incorporates multiple metrics, including Residual Energy (RE), Expected Transmission Count (ETX), Extended RPL Node Trustworthiness (ERNT), and a novel metric that measures node failure rate (NFR). In this mechanism, nodes with a high NFR are excluded from the parent selection process to improve network reliability and stability. The proposed RSOF was evaluated using random and grid topologies in the Cooja Simulator, with tests conducted across small, medium, and large-scale networks to examine the impact of varying node densities. The simulation results indicate a significant improvement in network performance, particularly in terms of average latency, packet acknowledgment ratio (PAR), packet delivery ratio (PDR), and Control Message Overhead (CMO), compared to the standard Minimum Rank with Hysteresis Objective Function (MRHOF).
基金financially supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.52071337)the Research Initiation Funds of Zhejiang University of Science and Technology(Grant No.F701102N06)+2 种基金the High-tech Ship Research Projects Sponsored by MIIT(Grant No.CBG2N21-4-2-5)the National Key Research and Development Program of China(Grant No.2022YFC2806300)the Marine Economy Development(Six Marine Industries)Special Foundation of the Department of Natural Resources of Guangdong Province(Grant No.GDNRC[2023]50).
文摘The deepwater subsea wellhead(SW)system is the foundation for the construction of oil and gas wells and the crucial channel for operation.During riser connection operation,the SW system is subjected to cyclic dynamic loads which cause fatigue damage to the SW system,and continuously accumulated fatigue damage leads to fatigue failure of the SW system,rupture,and even blowout accidents.This paper proposes a hybrid Bayesian network(HBN)-based dynamic reliability assessment approach for deepwater SW systems during their service life.In the proposed approach,the relationship between the accumulation of fatigue damage and the fatigue failure probability of the SW system is predicted,only considering normal conditions.The HBN model,which includes the accumulation of fatigue damage under normal conditions and the other factors affecting the fatigue of the SW system,is subsequently developed.When predictive and diagnostic analysis techniques are adopted,the dynamic reliability of the SW system is achieved,and the most influential factors are determined.Finally,corresponding safety control measures are proposed to improve the reliability of the SW system effectively.The results illustrate that the fatigue failure speed increases rapidly when the accumulation fatigue damage is larger than 0.45 under normal conditions and that the reliability of the SW system is larger than 94%within the design life.
基金funded by the National Key Research and Development Program(Grant No.2022YFB3706904).
文摘Thetraditional first-order reliability method(FORM)often encounters challengeswith non-convergence of results or excessive calculation when analyzing complex engineering problems.To improve the global convergence speed of structural reliability analysis,an improved coati optimization algorithm(COA)is proposed in this paper.In this study,the social learning strategy is used to improve the coati optimization algorithm(SL-COA),which improves the convergence speed and robustness of the newheuristic optimization algorithm.Then,the SL-COAis comparedwith the latest heuristic optimization algorithms such as the original COA,whale optimization algorithm(WOA),and osprey optimization algorithm(OOA)in the CEC2005 and CEC2017 test function sets and two engineering optimization design examples.The optimization results show that the proposed SL-COA algorithm has a high competitiveness.Secondly,this study introduces the SL-COA algorithm into the MPP(Most Probable Point)search process based on FORM and constructs a new reliability analysis method.Finally,the proposed reliability analysis method is verified by four mathematical examples and two engineering examples.The results show that the proposed SL-COA-assisted FORM exhibits fast convergence and avoids premature convergence to local optima as demonstrated by its successful application to problems such as composite cylinder design and support bracket analysis.
基金supported by the Scientific and Technological Research Council of Turkey(TUBITAK)under Grant No.124E002(1001-Project).
文摘This study examines various issues arising in three-phase unbalanced power distribution networks(PDNs)using a comprehensive optimization approach.With the integration of renewable energy sources,increasing energy demands,and the adoption of smart grid technologies,power systems are undergoing a rapid transformation,making the need for efficient,reliable,and sustainable distribution networks increasingly critical.In this paper,the reconfiguration problem in a 37-bus unbalanced PDN test system is solved using five different popular metaheuristic algorithms.Among these advanced search algorithms,the Bonobo Optimizer(BO)has demonstrated superior performance in handling the complexities of unbalanced power distribution network optimization.The study is structured around four distinct scenarios:(Ⅰ)improving mean voltage profile and minimizing active power loss,(Ⅱ)minimizing Voltage Unbalance Index(VUI)and Current Unbalance Index(CUI),(Ⅲ)optimizing key reliability indices using both Line Oriented Reliability Index(LORI)and Customer Oriented Reliability Index(CORI)approaches,and(Ⅳ)employing multi-objective optimization using the Pareto front technique to simultaneously minimize active power loss,average CUI,and System Average Interruption Duration Index(SAIDI).The study aims to contribute to the development of more efficient,reliable,and sustainable energy systems by addressing voltage profiles,power losses,reduction of imbalance,and the enhancement of reliability together.
基金financially supported by National R&D Program(2018M3D1A1058793,2021M3H4A3A02086430)through NRF(National Research Foundation of Korea)funded by the Ministry of Science and ICTsupported by SAIT,Samsung Electronics Co.,Ltd。
文摘Recently,artificial synapses involving an electrochemical reaction of Li-ion have been attributed to have remarkable synaptic properties.Three-terminal synaptic transistors utilizing Li-ion intercalation exhibits reliable synaptic characteristics by exploiting the advantage of nondistributed weight updates owing to stable ion migrations.However,the three-terminal configurations with large and complex structures impede the crossbar array implementation required for hardware neuromorphic systems.Meanwhile,achieving adequate synaptic performances through effective Li-ion intercalation in vertical two-terminal synaptic devices for array integration remains challenging.Here,two-terminal Au/LixCoO_(2)/Pt artificial synapses are proposed with the potential for practical implementation of hardware neural networks.The Au/LixCoO_(2)/Pt devices demonstrated extraordinary neuromorphic behaviors based on a progressive dearth of Li in LixCoO_(2)films.The intercalation and deintercalation of Li-ion inside the films are precisely controlled over the weight control spike,resulting in improved weight control functionality.Various types of synaptic plasticity were imitated and assessed in terms of key factors such as nonlinearity,symmetricity,and dynamic range.Notably,the LixCoO_(2)-based neuromorphic system outperformed three-terminal synaptic transistors in simulations of convolutional neural networks and multilayer perceptrons due to the high linearity and low programming error.These impressive performances suggest the vertical two-terminal Au/LixCoO_(2)/Pt artificial synapses as promising candidates for hardware neural networks.
基金supported by Natural Science and Engineering Research Council (NSERC) of Canada
文摘Reliability-based design optimization （RBDO） is intrinsically a double-loop procedure since it involves an overall optimization and an iterative reliability assessment at each search point. Due to the double-loop procedure, the computational expense of RBDO is normally very high. Current RBDO research focuses on problems with explicitly expressed performance functions and readily available gradients. This paper addresses a more challenging type of RBDO problem in which the performance functions are computation intensive. These computation intensive functions are often considered as a ＂black-box＂ and their gradients are not available or not reliable. On the basis of the reliable design space （RDS） concept proposed earlier by the authors, this paper proposes a Reliable Space Pursuing （RSP） approach, in which RDS is first identified and then gradually refined while optimization is performed. It fundamentally avoids the nested optimization and probabilistic assessment loop. Three well known RBDO problems from the literature are used for testing and demonstrating the effectiveness of the proposed RSP method.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(71701207)the Science and Technology on Reliability&Environmental Engineering Laboratory(6142004004-2)the Science and Technology Commission of the CMC(2019-JCJQ-JJ-180)。
文摘The reliability evaluation of a multistate network is primarily based on d-minimal paths/cuts(d-MPs/d-MCs).However,being a nondeterminism polynomial hard(NP-hard)problem,searching for all d-MPs is a rather challenging task.In existing implicit enumeration algorithms based on minimal paths(MPs),duplicate d-MP candidates may be generated.An extra step is needed to locate and remove these duplicate d-MP candidates,which costs significant computational effort.This paper proposes an efficient method to prevent the generation of duplicate d-MP candidates for implicit enumeration algorithms for d-MPs.First,the mechanism of generating duplicate d-MP candidates in the implicit enumeration algorithms is discussed.Second,a direct and efficient avoiding-duplicates method is proposed.Third,an improved algorithm is developed,followed by complexity analysis and illustrative examples.Based on the computational experiments comparing with two existing algorithms,it is found that the proposed method can significantly improve the efficiency of generating d-MPs for a particular demand level d.
文摘AIM: To assess the inter-observer agreement and reliability as well as intra-observer repeatability for lacrimal scintigraphy(LS) reports with and without considering the irrigation test results.METHODS: A prospective, observational, cross sectional study. Two masked clinicians(lacrimal surgeon and nuclear medicine specialist) independently reported 100 LS images(50 patients of >6 years of age with unilateral anophthalmic socket) in a university hospital. The lacrimal surgeon performed a diagnostic irrigation test and repeated the report of the same LS images 2 y after the first report(intra-observer agreement). A weighted Kappa analysis was performed to determine inter-observer agreement and reliability as well as intra-observer repeatability for the type(normal, partial and complete obstruction) and location(presac, preduct, and intraduct) of the obstruction. Subgroup analysis was also performed with consideration of irrigation test results. RESULTS: A significantly moderate agreement was found between lacrimal surgeon and nuclear medicine specialist for both the type(Kappa=0.55) and location(Kappa=0.48) of obstruction. Agreement values were higher for the type(Kappa=0.61 vs 0.41) and location(Kappa=0.56 vs 0.31) of obstruction in cases with normal than abnormal irrigation test. Strong and significant intraobserver(lacrimal surgeon) repeatability was found for both the type(Kappa=0.66) and location(Kappa=0.69) of obstruction. LS showed no to slight reliability based on irrigation test.CONCLUSION: A moderate agreement is found between lacrimal surgeon and nuclear medicine specialist regarding the interpretation of LS suggesting the importance ofconsensus groups among nuclear medicine specialists and lacrimal surgeons to create a common language for interpretation of LS. Intra-observer repeatability is strong for the lacrimal surgeon.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(62073009,52775020,72201013)the China Postdoctoral Science Foundation(2022M710314)the Funding of Science&Technology on Reliability&Environmental Engineering Laboratory(6142004210102)。
文摘This paper systematically introduces and reviews a scientific exploration of reliability called the belief reliability.Beginning with the origin of reliability engineering,the problems of present theories for reliability engineering are summarized as a query,a dilemma,and a puzzle.Then,through philosophical reflection,we introduce the theoretical solutions given by belief reliability theory,including scientific principles,basic equations,reliability science experiments,and mathematical measures.The basic methods and technologies of belief reliability,namely,belief reliability analysis,function-oriented belief reliability design,belief reliability evaluation,and several newly developed methods and technologies are sequentially elaborated and overviewed.Based on the above investigations,we summarize the significance of belief reliability theory and make some prospects about future research,aiming to promote the development of reliability science and engineering.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant Nos.52109144,52025094 and 52222905).
文摘This paper introduces a novel approach for parameter sensitivity evaluation and efficient slope reliability analysis based on quantile-based first-order second-moment method(QFOSM).The core principles of the QFOSM are elucidated geometrically from the perspective of expanding ellipsoids.Based on this geometric interpretation,the QFOSM is further extended to estimate sensitivity indices and assess the significance of various uncertain parameters involved in the slope system.The proposed method has the advantage of computational simplicity,akin to the conventional first-order second-moment method(FOSM),while providing estimation accuracy close to that of the first-order reliability method(FORM).Its performance is demonstrated with a numerical example and three slope examples.The results show that the proposed method can efficiently estimate the slope reliability and simultaneously evaluate the sensitivity of the uncertain parameters.The proposed method does not involve complex optimization or iteration required by the FORM.It can provide a valuable complement to the existing approximate reliability analysis methods,offering rapid sensitivity evaluation and slope reliability analysis.
文摘Probabilistic back-analysis is an important means to infer the statistics of uncertain soil parameters,making the slope reliability assessment closer to the engineering reality.However,multi-source information(including test data,monitored data,field observation and slope survival records)is rarely used in current probabilistic back-analysis.Conducting the probabilistic back-analysis of spatially varying soil parameters and slope reliability prediction under rainfalls by integrating multi-source information is a challenging task since thousands of random variables and high-dimensional likelihood function are usually involved.In this paper,a framework by integrating a modified Bayesian Updating with Subset simulation(mBUS)method with adaptive Conditional Sampling(aCS)algorithm is established for the probabilistic back-analysis of spatially varying soil parameters and slope reliability prediction.Within this framework,the high-dimensional probabilistic back-analysis problem can be easily tackled,and the multi-source information(e.g.monitored pressure heads and slope survival records)can be fully used in the back-analysis.A real Taoyuan landslide case in Taiwan,China is investigated to illustrate the effectiveness and performance of the established framework.The findings show that the posterior knowledge of soil parameters obtained from the established framework is in good agreement with the field observations.Furthermore,the updated knowledge of soil parameters can be utilized to reliably predict the occurrence probability of a landslide caused by the heavy rainfall event on September 12,2004 or forecast the potential landslides under future rainfalls in the Fuhsing District of Taoyuan City,Taiwan,China.
基金the National Natural Science Foundation of China(51875073).
文摘For high-reliability systems in military,aerospace,and railway fields,the challenges of reliability analysis lie in dealing with unclear failure mechanisms,complex fault relationships,lack of fault data,and uncertainty of fault states.To overcome these problems,this paper proposes a reliability analysismethod based on T-S fault tree analysis(T-S FTA)and Hyper-ellipsoidal Bayesian network(HE-BN).The method describes the connection between the various systemfault events by T-S fuzzy gates and translates them into a Bayesian network(BN)model.Combining the advantages of T-S fault tree modeling with the advantages of Bayesian network computation,a reliability modeling method is proposed that can fully reflect the fault characteristics of complex systems.Experts describe the degree of failure of the event in the form of interval numbers.The knowledge and experience of experts are fused with the D-S evidence theory to obtain the initial failure probability interval of the BN root node.Then,the Hyper-ellipsoidal model(HM)constrains the initial failure probability interval and constructs a HE-BN for the system.A reliability analysismethod is proposed to solve the problem of insufficient failure data and uncertainty in the degree of failure.The failure probability of the system is further calculated and the key components that affect the system’s reliability are identified.The proposedmethod accounts for the uncertainty and incompleteness of the failure data in complex multi-state systems and establishes an easily computable reliability model that fully reflects the characteristics of complex faults and accurately identifies system weaknesses.The feasibility and accuracy of the method are further verified by conducting case studies.
文摘After a criticism on today’s model for electrical noise in resistors, we pass to use a Quantum-compliant model based on the discreteness of electrical charge in a complex Admittance. From this new model we show that carrier drift viewed as charged particle motion in response to an electric field is unlike to occur in bulk regions of Solid-State devices where carriers react as dipoles against this field. The absence of the shot noise that charges drifting in resistors should produce and the evolution of the Phase Noise with the active power existing in the resonators of L-C oscillators, are two effects added in proof for this conduction model without carrier drift where the resistance of any two-terminal device becomes discrete and has a minimum value per carrier that is the Quantum Hall resistance Rk=h/q2
基金This research was supported by the National Key R&D Program of China(Grant No.2022YFB3606900)in part by the National Natural Science of China(Grant No.62004217).
文摘The detrimental effect of imprint,which can cause misreading problem,has hindered the application of ferroelectric HfO_(2).In this work,we present results of a comprehensive reliability evaluation of Hf_(0.5)Zr_(0.5)O_(2)-based ferroelectric random access memory.The influence of imprint on the retention and endurance is demonstrated.Furthermore,a solution in circuity is pro-posed to effectively solve the misreading problem caused by imprint.
基金fundings from Project ATE:Agenda para a Transição Energética(02/C05-i01.02/2022.PC644914747-00000023)cofinanced by Plano de Recuperação e Resiliência(PRR),República Portuguesa,through NextGeneration EU+3 种基金the project entitled Giga-Cycle Fatigue Behaviour of Engineering Metallic Alloys(PTDC/EME-EME/7678/2020)National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.12372195)the Guangdong Basic and Applied Basic Research Foundation(Grant No.2022A1515240010)China Scholarship Council(No.202406070043).
文摘1 Summary With the advancement of science and technology,complex engineering structures are widely used in extreme environments[1].In equipment service,many uncertainty factors significantly affect safety and reliability[2–5].Therefore,ensuring high reliability of structures has become an important research direction in engineering design.At the same time,the importance of equipment health management of complex engineering structures is becoming increasingly prominent[6–8].Computer-aided uncertainty modeling and reliability assessment have become key tools,and finite element simulation and algorithmic innovation play a key role in the reliability analysis of complex equipment[9,10].These techniques can accurately simulate stress and damage accumulation under various operating environments,providing engineers with important decision support and optimization solutions.
文摘Interrater reliability (IRR) statistics, like Cohen’s kappa, measure agreement between raters beyond what is expected by chance when classifying items into categories. While Cohen’s kappa has been widely used, it has several limitations, prompting development of Gwet’s agreement statistic, an alternative “kappa”statistic which models chance agreement via an “occasional guessing” model. However, we show that Gwet’s formula for estimating the proportion of agreement due to chance is itself biased for intermediate levels of agreement, despite overcoming limitations of Cohen’s kappa at high and low agreement levels. We derive a maximum likelihood estimator for the occasional guessing model that yields an unbiased estimator of the IRR, which we call the maximum likelihood kappa (κML). The key result is that the chance agreement probability under the occasional guessing model is simply equal to the observed rate of disagreement between raters. The κMLstatistic provides a theoretically principled approach to quantifying IRR that addresses limitations of previous κcoefficients. Given the widespread use of IRR measures, having an unbiased estimator is important for reliable inference across domains where rater judgments are analyzed.
基金supported by NSFC project(grant No.61971359)Chongqing Municipal Key Laboratory of Institutions of Higher Education(grant No.cquptmct-202104)+1 种基金Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities,Sichuan Science and Technology Project(grant no.2021YFQ0053)State Key Laboratory of Rail Transit Engineering Informatization(FSDI).
文摘The increasing demand for industrial automation and intelligence has put forward higher requirements for the reliability of industrial wireless communication technology.As an international standard based on 802.11,Wireless networks for Industrial Automation-Factory Automation(WIA-FA)greatly improves the reliability in factory automation scenarios by Time Division Multiple Access(TDMA).However,in ultra-dense WIA-FA networks with mobile users,the basic connection management mechanism is inefficient.Most of the handover and resource management algorithms are all based on frequency division multiplexing,not suitable for the TDMA in the WIA-FA network.Therefore,we propose Load-aware Connection Management(LACM)algorithm to adjust the linkage and balance the load of access devices to avoid blocking and improve the reliability of the system.And then we simulate the algorithm to find the optimal settings of the parameters.After comparing with other existing algorithms,the result of the simulation proves that LACM is more efficient in reliability and maintains high reliability of more than 99.8%even in the ultra-dense moving scenario with 1500 field devices.Besides,this algorithm ensures that only a few signaling exchanges are required to ensure load bal-ancing,which is no more than 5 times,and less than half of the best state-of-the-art algorithm.
