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Catastrophe theory-based risk evaluation model for water and mud inrush and its application in karst tunnels 被引量:20
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作者 ZHU Jian-qun LI Tian-zheng 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2020年第5期1587-1598,共12页
This paper presents a risk evaluation model of water and mud inrush for tunnel excavation in karst areas.The factors affecting the probabilities of water and mud inrush in karst tunnels are investigated to define the ... This paper presents a risk evaluation model of water and mud inrush for tunnel excavation in karst areas.The factors affecting the probabilities of water and mud inrush in karst tunnels are investigated to define the dangerousness of this geological disaster.The losses that are caused by water and mud inrush are taken into consideration to account for its harmfulness.Then a risk evaluation model based on the dangerousness-harmfulness evaluation indicator system is constructed,which is more convincing in comparison with the traditional methods.The catastrophe theory is used to evaluate the risk level of water and mud inrush and it has great advantage in handling problems involving discontinuous catastrophe processes.To validate the proposed approach,the Qiyueshan tunnel of Yichang-Wanzhou Railway is taken as an example in which four target segments are evaluated using the risk evaluation model.Finally,the evaluation results are compared with the excavation data,which shows that the risk levels predicted by the proposed approach are in good agreements with that observed in engineering.In conclusion,the catastrophe theory-based risk evaluation model is an efficient and effective approach for water and mud inrush in karst tunnels. 展开更多
关键词 risk evaluation model water and mud inrush catastrophe theory karst area TUNNELING
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Risk assessment model of tunnel water inrush based on improved attribute mathematical theory 被引量:11
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作者 YANG Xiao-li ZHANG Sheng 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2018年第2期379-391,共13页
Tunnel water inrush is one of the common geological disasters in the underground engineering construction.In order to effectively evaluate and control the occurrence of water inrush,the risk assessment model of tunnel... Tunnel water inrush is one of the common geological disasters in the underground engineering construction.In order to effectively evaluate and control the occurrence of water inrush,the risk assessment model of tunnel water inrush was proposed based on improved attribute mathematical theory.The trigonometric functions were adopted to optimize the attribute mathematical theory,avoiding the influence of mutation points and linear variation zones in traditional linear measurement functions on the accuracy of the model.Based on comprehensive analysis of various factors,five parameters were selected as the evaluation indicators for the model,including tunnel head pressure,permeability coefficient of surrounding rock,crushing degree of surrounding rock,relative angle of joint plane and tunnel section size,under the principle of dimension rationality,independence,directness and quantification.The indicator classifications were determined.The links among measured data were analyzed in detail,and the objective weight of each indicator was determined by using similar weight method.Thereby the tunnel water inrush risk assessment model is established and applied in four target segments of two different tunnels in engineering.The evaluation results and the actual excavation data agree well,which indicates that the model is of high credibility and feasibility. 展开更多
关键词 tunnel water inrush risk assessment model attribute mathematical theory nonlinear measurement function similar weight method
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Risk assessment of water inrush in tunnels based on attribute interval recognition theory 被引量:4
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作者 WANG Sheng LI Li-ping +3 位作者 CHENG Shuai HU Hui-jiang ZHANG Ming-guang WEN Tao 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2020年第2期517-530,共14页
Water inrush is one of the most serious geological hazards in underground engineering construction.In order to effectively prevent and control the occurrence of water inrush,a new attribute interval recognition theory... Water inrush is one of the most serious geological hazards in underground engineering construction.In order to effectively prevent and control the occurrence of water inrush,a new attribute interval recognition theory and method is proposed to systematically evaluate the risk of water inrush in karst tunnels.Its innovation mainly includes that the value of evaluation index is an interval rather than a certain value;the single-index attribute evaluation model is improved non-linearly based on the idea of normal distribution;the synthetic attribute interval analysis method based on improved intuitionistic fuzzy theory is proposed.The TFN-AHP method is proposed to analyze the weight of evaluation index.By analyzing geological factors and engineering factors in tunnel zone,a multi-grade hierarchical index system for tunnel water inrush risk assessment is established.The proposed method is applied to ventilation incline of Xiakou tunnel,and its rationality and practicability is verified by comparison with field situation and evaluation results of other methods.In addition,the results evaluated by this method,which considers that water inrush is a complex non-linear system and the geological conditions have spatial variability,are more accurate and reliable.And it has good applicability in solving the problem of certain and uncertain problem. 展开更多
关键词 water inrush risk assessment attribute interval recognition model TFN-AHP
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Risk assessment of floor water inrush in coal mines based on MFIM-TOPSIS variable weight model 被引量:8
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作者 ZHANG Guan-da XUE Yi-guo +3 位作者 BAI Cheng-hao SU Mao-xin ZHANG Kai TAO Yu-fan 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2021年第8期2360-2374,共15页
Floor water inrush is one of the main types of coal mine water hazards.With the development of deep mining,the prediction and evaluation of floor water inrush is particularly significant.This paper proposes a variable... Floor water inrush is one of the main types of coal mine water hazards.With the development of deep mining,the prediction and evaluation of floor water inrush is particularly significant.This paper proposes a variable weight model,which combines a multi-factor interaction matrix(MFIM)and the technique for order performance by similarity to ideal solution(TOPSIS)to implement the risk assessment of floor water inrush in coal mines.Based on the MFIM,the interaction between seven evaluation indices,including the confined water pressure,water supply condition and aquifer water yield property,floor aquifuge thickness,fault water transmitting ability,fracture development degree,mining depth and thickness and their influence on floor water inrush were considered.After calculating the constant weights,the active degree evaluation was used to assign a variable weight to the indices.The values of the middle layer and final risk level were obtained by TOPSIS.The presented model was successfully applied in the 9901 working face in the Taoyang Mine and four additional coal mines and the results were highly consistent with the engineering situations.Compared with the existing nonlinear evaluation methods,the proposed model had advantages in terms of the weighting,principle explanation,and algorithm structure. 展开更多
关键词 floor water inrush risk assessment multi-factor interaction matrix(MFIM) technique for order performance by similarity to ideal solution(TOPSIS) variable weight
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Formation mechanisms of water inrush and mud burst in a migmatite tunnel:a case study in China 被引量:6
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作者 WU Guo-jun CHEN Wei-zhong +2 位作者 YUAN Jing-qiang YANG Dian-sen BIAN Han-bian 《Journal of Mountain Science》 SCIE CSCD 2017年第1期188-195,共8页
This paper presents a case study of water inrush and mud burst occurring in a migmatite tunnel to study its formation mechanisms. The geological investigation and mineralogical analysis showed that water inrush and mu... This paper presents a case study of water inrush and mud burst occurring in a migmatite tunnel to study its formation mechanisms. The geological investigation and mineralogical analysis showed that water inrush and mud burst in the migmatite was closely related to the component of the host rock. High content of soluble minerals,e.g.,calcite and dolomite,would make the migmatite rock prone to be fragmentized,isintegrated and eventually form different sorts of connected or semi-connected veins. The field exploration revealed most cavities in the magmatite tunnel were eroded by groundwater and formed large interconnected networks. The two faults and the dike in the magmatite tunnel became the preferred paths and provided great convenience for plenty of precipitation and mud slurry. Due to high water pressure and blast disturbance,the cavities can soon connect each other as well as all sorts of veins,forming a complex ground channel for water inrush and mud burst. To estimate the potential occurrenceof water inrush and mud burst,the water bursting coefficient was employed. The results showed the water bursting coefficient of the magmatite tunnel was much bigger than the threshold values and it can be used to explain the accident of water inrush and mud burst occurring in the magmatite tunnel. 展开更多
关键词 water inrush mud burst Migmatite Formation mechanism Tunnel
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Prevention and treatment technologies of railway tunnel water inrush and mud gushing in China 被引量:19
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作者 Yong Zhao Pengfei Li Siming Tian 《Journal of Rock Mechanics and Geotechnical Engineering》 SCIE CSCD 2013年第6期468-477,共10页
Water inrush and mud gushing are one of the biggest hazards in tunnel construction. Unfavorable geological sections can be observed in almost all railway tunnels under construction or to be constructed, and vary in ex... Water inrush and mud gushing are one of the biggest hazards in tunnel construction. Unfavorable geological sections can be observed in almost all railway tunnels under construction or to be constructed, and vary in extent. Furthermore, due to the different heights of mountains and the lengths of tunnels, the locations of the unfavorable geological sections cannot be fully determined before construction, which increases the risk of water inrush and mud gushing. Based on numerous cases of water inrush and mud gushing in railway tunnels, the paper tries to classify water inrush and mud gushing in railway tunnels in view of the conditions of the surrounding rocks and meteorological factors associated with tunnel excavation. In addition, the causes of water inrush and mud gushing in combination of macroand micromechanisms are summarized, and site-specifc treatment method is put forward. The treatment methods include choosing a method of advance geological forecast according to risk degrees of different sections in the tunnel, determining the items of predictions, and choosing the appropriate methods, i.e. draining-oriented method, blocking-oriented method or draining-and-blocking method. The treatment technologies of railway water inrush and mud gushing are also summarized, including energy relief and pressure relief technology, advance grouting technology, and advance jet grouting technology associated with their key technical features and applicable conditions. The results in terms of treatment methods can provide reference to the prevention and treatment of tunnel water inrush and mud gushing. 展开更多
关键词 Tunnel engineering Unfavorable geological regions water inrush and mud gushing Pressure relief technology Advance grouting technology Advance jet grouting
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Structural mechanism and construction method of mud and water inrush in Xiangyun tunnel of Guangtong-Dali railway
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作者 WANG Yawei 《Global Geology》 2019年第3期167-178,共12页
Mud and water inrush in tunnel is a common problem in the construction process. Nowadays, the research and classification on this are mostly focused on karst situations. According to the characteristics of the surroun... Mud and water inrush in tunnel is a common problem in the construction process. Nowadays, the research and classification on this are mostly focused on karst situations. According to the characteristics of the surrounding rock and damage forms of the tunnel in the studied area, the author analyzed the geological and structural characteristics of mud and water inrush in tunnel and obtained their construction type. Meanwhile, the advanced water detection under the complex geological conditions was studied by using induced polarization method, transient electromagnetic method and three-dimensional seismic method, it can be concluded that the water-rich fracture zone exists within the detection range with a risk of large mud and water inrush disaster. The concrete construction treatment measures are put forward:①cement-water glass binary slurry is selected as the material for ground and hole grouting, its advantage is that the gel time can be controlled, and it has certain grout ability in the strata with large permeability coeffcient, which is conducive to excavate construction immediately after grouting.②applying the mature retrograde grouting construction can reduce grouting time and improve the excavation efficiency. 展开更多
关键词 mud and water inrush geological model Xiangyun TUNNEL Guangtong-Dali RAILWAY STRUCTURAL mechanism construction method
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Treatment Design and Construction Strategy for Tunnel Mud and Water Inrush Disaster
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作者 Yike Wei Lingfeng Yu 《Journal of Architectural Research and Development》 2021年第2期52-54,共3页
With the rapid development of the transportation industry in China,the number and scale of tunnel construction are increasing.Tunneling through fault zones and other complex geological environments is becoming more an... With the rapid development of the transportation industry in China,the number and scale of tunnel construction are increasing.Tunneling through fault zones and other complex geological environments is becoming more and more common.In the construction of highway tunnels,due to the special geographical environment and complex geological conditions,mud and water inrush often occur in the tunnel.Water inrush disasters pose a major risk to the construction of highway tunnels and affect the normal construction of highway tunnels.This paper combines the engineering background of the tunnel mud and water inrush accidents,carries out evaluation on the accident treatment measures and the treatment efficiency,and summarizes the main concerns in the construction process and the technical guidelines for dealing with the tunnel mud and water inrush. 展开更多
关键词 TUNNEL mud and water inrush Disaster treatment Construction strategy
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突水系数60年:面临困境及发展方向
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作者 尹尚先 姚辉 +6 位作者 梁满玉 吴威 连会青 侯恩科 赵鹏 张义安 王雄 《煤炭学报》 北大核心 2025年第1期600-609,共10页
自1964年突水系数诞生以来,60年里尽管历经多次改良变化,但其主体一直是我国预测和评价底板突水危险性的主要方法,在保障带压开采生产安全及推动带压开采理论发展方面发挥了重要作用。回顾了突水系数法的传承与发展历程,总结突水系数法... 自1964年突水系数诞生以来,60年里尽管历经多次改良变化,但其主体一直是我国预测和评价底板突水危险性的主要方法,在保障带压开采生产安全及推动带压开采理论发展方面发挥了重要作用。回顾了突水系数法的传承与发展历程,总结突水系数法发展历史,认为突水系数法演变主要围绕“有效隔水层厚度”这一概念展开,临界突水系数无法确定限制了其他版本突水系数法的应用。从充水水源、强度、通道、时间、水质5个维度阐释了浅部与深部水害特征及异同,指出了深部开采条件下突水系数法局限所在;总结改良版本,指明深部条件下突水系数法改良方向:围绕针对性不强、隔水层厚度影响、考虑因素单一等进行改良。剖析学科概念,回归突水危险性评价命题本身,危险性评价应回答突水的可能性及突水的危害程度两部分内容;梳理突水危险性影响因素,指出突水系数法缺陷:对地质构造、含水层富水性等重要影响因素考虑不全面。展望未来,探讨了突水系数法发展方向,包括与其他理论及方法形成组合模型、选用大数据评价方法。随着信息化技术的进步及煤矿智能化建设进程的稳步推进,深度学习、机器学习以及配套方法等将成为主流评价方法,特别是物理机制约束下的大数据评价方法是未来攻关热点。 展开更多
关键词 带压开采 深部开采 突水危险性评价 突水系数法
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复杂断块山区隧道涌突水灾害的风险评价模型
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作者 眭素刚 杨艳娜 +2 位作者 黄靖宇 于斯遥 王帮团 《地下空间与工程学报》 北大核心 2025年第1期350-357,共8页
科学可行的隧道涌突水评价模型应准确客观地描述隧道重点部位的涌水特征,同时也能够反应出涌突水灾害本身的不稳定性。以弥玉高速公路登楼山隧道1#斜井穿越复杂断块山区为工程背景,在野外调查与水文地质分析基础上,选定了控制隧道涌突... 科学可行的隧道涌突水评价模型应准确客观地描述隧道重点部位的涌水特征,同时也能够反应出涌突水灾害本身的不稳定性。以弥玉高速公路登楼山隧道1#斜井穿越复杂断块山区为工程背景,在野外调查与水文地质分析基础上,选定了控制隧道涌突水灾害的7个指标,结合突变级数法构建了适用于断块结构区域隧道涌突水灾害的风险评价模型,并引入本研究团队已提出的评价体系,将二者应用于隧道斜井工程的涌突水分段风险评价中,并与实际施工涌水情况对比验证。结果表明:基于突变级数法构建的涌突水灾害评价模型在断块结构地区相较于既有评价体系具有更好的适用性与准确性。研究成果可有效指导登楼山隧道主洞施工的水害防治工作,评价模型可为复杂山区富水隧道的涌突水灾害风险预测提供参考。 展开更多
关键词 隧道工程 涌突水风险 定量评价 突变级数法 登楼山隧道
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基于组合赋权法和脆弱性指数模型的煤层底板突水危险性评价
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作者 邱梅 赵建飞 +5 位作者 邵振东 张伟强 郑妍 尹心雨 盖贵超 韩昭帝 《煤炭工程》 北大核心 2025年第1期160-168,共9页
针对煤层底板突水危险性评价模型中主控因素赋权问题,提出了一种基于模糊层次分析法(FDAHP)、熵权法(EWM)与偏差平方和法(SSD)组合赋权的脆弱性指数模型。以良庄井田15煤层底板奥灰突水危险性评价为例,选取含水层富水性、含水层水压、... 针对煤层底板突水危险性评价模型中主控因素赋权问题,提出了一种基于模糊层次分析法(FDAHP)、熵权法(EWM)与偏差平方和法(SSD)组合赋权的脆弱性指数模型。以良庄井田15煤层底板奥灰突水危险性评价为例,选取含水层富水性、含水层水压、隔水层厚度、脆塑性岩石厚度比、断层交点和尖灭点密度、断层强度指数等6个主控因素。采用FDAHP法和EWM法分别确定主控因素的主、客观权重,并利用SSD法有效融合主、客观权重构建最优组合权重。在此基础上,建立脆弱性指数模型对煤层底板突水危险性进行评价,将研究区划分为4大区域:安全区、过渡区、危险区、强危险区。结果表明,该方法将主控因素主观、客观权重有效融合,突水危险性评价结果与工程实践相吻合,预测效果较好,为煤层底板突水危险性评价提供了新思路。 展开更多
关键词 脆弱性指数法 煤层底板突水 模糊层次分析法 熵权法 危险性评价
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巨厚含水层下厚煤层综放开采覆岩破坏规律与涌(突)水危险性研究
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作者 王毅 马壮 +3 位作者 王宏涛 白宇 王柯 陈伟 《煤炭技术》 2025年第4期130-137,共8页
目前,建庄煤矿主要开采煤层为4^(-2)煤层,一般埋深450~730 m,属埋藏深、大采高的煤层,且使用综采放顶煤采煤法。以建庄煤矿216工作面为例,对工作面覆岩“三带”发育高度进行了分析,对冒裂安全性进行了分区;选取了含水层厚度、单位涌水... 目前,建庄煤矿主要开采煤层为4^(-2)煤层,一般埋深450~730 m,属埋藏深、大采高的煤层,且使用综采放顶煤采煤法。以建庄煤矿216工作面为例,对工作面覆岩“三带”发育高度进行了分析,对冒裂安全性进行了分区;选取了含水层厚度、单位涌水量、渗透系数、砂地比、砂泥比、砂泥层数比等6个主控因素,集成层次分析法与变异系数法计算了组合权重,对含水层富水性进行了分区,通过叠加2个分区图对涌(突)水危险性进行了研究。结果表明:Ⅰ区主要分布于井田南和北部,Ⅱ区主要分布于矿井的中南部和东部,Ⅲ区主要分布于井田的中部,其余为Ⅳ区。 展开更多
关键词 建庄煤矿 富水性指数 层次分析 变异系数法 突水危险性
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基于AHP-CRITIC-云模型的非煤矿山突水安全风险评估
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作者 王伦平 周德红 +1 位作者 曾旺 张坤岩 《武汉工程大学学报》 2025年第1期105-112,共8页
为了提高非煤矿山突水安全风险评估的全面性和准确性,避免从传统的纯技术方面分析非煤矿山突水的影响因素,从安全科学系统论和综合论的角度建立非煤矿山突水安全风险评估体系,并提出AHPCRITIC组合赋权法确定指标权重;引入云模型评估理论... 为了提高非煤矿山突水安全风险评估的全面性和准确性,避免从传统的纯技术方面分析非煤矿山突水的影响因素,从安全科学系统论和综合论的角度建立非煤矿山突水安全风险评估体系,并提出AHPCRITIC组合赋权法确定指标权重;引入云模型评估理论,利用MATLAB构建评估指标的隶属度函数,从而构建非煤矿山突水安全风险评估模型;最后引入湖北某矿山实例,与现场专家打分结果进行对比验证。结果表明:基于AHP-CRITIC-云模型的非煤矿山突水安全风险评估模型具有科学性、准确性和实用性,解决了传统评估方法存在的不全面性和主观性等问题,提高了对非煤矿山突水安全风险评估结果的精确性。 展开更多
关键词 突水 安全风险 组合赋权 云模型
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复合地层隧道突涌水灾害机理及治理研究
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作者 康与超 王青松 《北方交通》 2025年第1期91-94,共4页
青岛地区地质条件较为复杂,隧道施工过程中常常会受到富水砂层和破碎带等影响。文章以青岛地铁静沙区间隧道工程为研究案例,针对该隧道突涌水灾害和由此引起的地面坍塌问题,建立有限元模型,对富水复合地层隧道施工进行分析,研究隧道的... 青岛地区地质条件较为复杂,隧道施工过程中常常会受到富水砂层和破碎带等影响。文章以青岛地铁静沙区间隧道工程为研究案例,针对该隧道突涌水灾害和由此引起的地面坍塌问题,建立有限元模型,对富水复合地层隧道施工进行分析,研究隧道的围岩应力和孔隙水压力变化情况。结合现场情况和数值模拟结果,分析该隧道突涌水的成因并提出治理措施。 展开更多
关键词 隧道 富水地层 突水突泥 数值模拟 灾害治理
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基于GIS和AHP结合的寺家庄煤矿15号煤顶板突水危险性评价
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作者 谢俊 陈登金 +4 位作者 崔志刚 王红伟 王鹏威 韩冰 张志伟 《煤》 2025年第2期44-47,共4页
针对寺家庄煤矿开采过程中面临的顶板突水安全问题,本文提出AHP赋权法的评价模型。该模型基于寺家庄煤矿矿井地质、水文地质条件和煤层顶板突水规律,对顶板突水危险性进行评价。选取脆塑岩比、含水层厚度、岩芯采取率、冲洗液消耗量、... 针对寺家庄煤矿开采过程中面临的顶板突水安全问题,本文提出AHP赋权法的评价模型。该模型基于寺家庄煤矿矿井地质、水文地质条件和煤层顶板突水规律,对顶板突水危险性进行评价。选取脆塑岩比、含水层厚度、岩芯采取率、冲洗液消耗量、断层分布、陷落柱分布、断层规模指数七个主控因素作为顶板水评价指标,确定指标综合权重,建立富水性评价模型,并通过GIS进行富水性分区。结果表明,寺家庄煤矿煤层顶板富水性综合分区图为南北区域相对危险,中部区域相对安全。评价结果与实际吻合良好,对矿区安全生产具有重要意义。 展开更多
关键词 顶板突水 危险性评价 ARCGIS AHP
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陕西省煤矿典型水灾隐患特征及治理技术 被引量:7
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作者 董书宁 樊敏 +5 位作者 郭小铭 刘英锋 郭康 姬中奎 李超峰 薛小渊 《煤炭学报》 EI CAS CSCD 北大核心 2024年第2期902-916,共15页
陕西省煤炭资源丰富,2022年煤炭产量达7.46亿t,是我国主要产煤省份之一。由于全省煤矿区地质及水文地质条件差异明显,煤矿水灾类型多样,随着近年煤炭开采强度的增大,水灾事故时有发生,防治水形势较为严峻。以煤炭赋存条件为基础,系统总... 陕西省煤炭资源丰富,2022年煤炭产量达7.46亿t,是我国主要产煤省份之一。由于全省煤矿区地质及水文地质条件差异明显,煤矿水灾类型多样,随着近年煤炭开采强度的增大,水灾事故时有发生,防治水形势较为严峻。以煤炭赋存条件为基础,系统总结区域水文地质结构特征,界定典型水灾类型及各类水灾影响区域分布,论述典型水灾的形成机理及特征,并提出了相应的防控技术。研究表明:(1)陕西省主要煤炭产区分为陕北、黄陇、渭北三大区,陕北侏罗纪煤田主要有顶板松散沙层水灾隐患、厚层砂岩水灾隐患、溃水溃沙灾害,局部区域分布有烧变岩对煤矿造成水灾隐患;黄陇煤田主要受顶板巨厚砂岩水灾隐患、离层溃水隐患、泥砂溃涌灾害隐患威胁;陕北石炭—二叠纪煤田和渭北煤田,主要受到煤层底板奥陶系灰岩水灾隐患威胁。(2)陕北侏罗系煤田顶板水灾隐患主要为顶板含水层受开采导水裂隙带扰动形成,导水裂隙波及砂岩含水层或松散沙层可形成持续大流量涌水,部分区域充水强度较大,在短时间水量较大超过排水系统能力时造成顶板水灾,在薄基岩区域垮落带直接导通松散沙层时可转变为溃水溃沙灾害,导水裂隙带影响到烧变岩富水区域时可形成瞬时水量大且持续的烧变岩水灾;黄陇煤田顶板巨厚砂岩含水层受采动导水裂隙带波及形成高强度持续涌水并可能形成顶板水灾,当含水层下部隔水层厚度较大时,可能形成离层溃水灾害,当近煤层顶板岩层松软遇水易崩解时可转变为泥砂溃涌灾害;陕北石炭—二叠纪煤田和渭北煤田,煤层开采底板扰动破坏带或断层等构造导通奥陶系灰岩含水层时,会引发极为严重的底板突水灾害,该类灾害具突发性强、瞬时水量大的特征。(3)各区域的顶板水灾隐患治理技术主要包括钻孔疏泄、注浆治理、开采参数控制等,底板水灾隐患治理技术主要包括区域注浆加固及封堵等;烧变岩水灾隐患主要采取帷幕注浆与钻孔探放有机结合的防治技术。 展开更多
关键词 陕西省煤矿 溃水溃沙 烧变岩水灾 离层溃水 泥砂溃涌 底板奥灰水灾
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基于非线性渗流理论的破裂岩体突水危险性量化方法
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作者 刘伟韬 赵吉园 +3 位作者 孔德斌 顾玉龙 杜刚 王建刚 《煤炭学报》 EI CAS CSCD 北大核心 2024年第11期4520-4541,共22页
破裂岩体是主要的突水通道之一,突水发生时地下水在破裂岩体中表现出非线性渗流特征,但由于破裂岩体内部结构的复杂性,对其突水危险性的研究以定性分析为主,难以量化评价。为了能够找到一种破裂岩体突水危险性量化方法,开展了破裂岩体... 破裂岩体是主要的突水通道之一,突水发生时地下水在破裂岩体中表现出非线性渗流特征,但由于破裂岩体内部结构的复杂性,对其突水危险性的研究以定性分析为主,难以量化评价。为了能够找到一种破裂岩体突水危险性量化方法,开展了破裂岩体非线性渗流实验,研究了破裂岩体的内部结构参数和水在破裂岩体内的非线性渗流参数的变化规律,基于多孔介质非线性渗流理论和分形理论,推导了非线性渗流数学模型,确定了破裂岩体的结构特征参数、非线性渗流特征参数与破裂岩体的突水危险性分级三者之间的关系,建立了基于非线性临界压力梯度的突水危险性判据,结果表明:非线性临界压力梯度可以作为评价破裂区域突水危险性的量化指标,该量化指标同时考虑了破裂岩体内部结构参数和地下水的非线性流动状态参数;相较于传统的突水危险性确定方法只考虑完整岩层的阻水能力,建立的非线性临界压力梯度突水危险性判据考虑了破裂区域岩层和完整岩层在内的所有岩层能够承受的总的临界水压值,反映了所有岩层的阻水能力。建立的非线性临界压力梯度突水危险性判据创新性地尝试了将非线性渗流状态参数应用到突水危险性量化方法研究当中,是一种将破裂岩体的内部结构参数和地下水的流动状态参数耦合的突水危险性量化方法。 展开更多
关键词 矿井突水 非线性渗流 突水危险性 量化方法 临界压力梯度
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基于围岩监测的隧道施工期突涌水风险预测
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作者 许增光 张泽源 曹成 《应用力学学报》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 2024年第6期1245-1256,共12页
突涌水灾害的频发对隧道安全施工和生命财产构成严重威胁,因此精准预测并有效控制隧道施工中的突涌水风险尤为重要。本研究旨在提出一种适用于隧道施工期的突涌水风险预测方法,通过反馈施工现场监测数据确定风险概率并预测水量范围。首... 突涌水灾害的频发对隧道安全施工和生命财产构成严重威胁,因此精准预测并有效控制隧道施工中的突涌水风险尤为重要。本研究旨在提出一种适用于隧道施工期的突涌水风险预测方法,通过反馈施工现场监测数据确定风险概率并预测水量范围。首先,在分析施工期突涌水事故案例的基础上,综合考虑地质构造和水文地质条件,并引入开挖支护、动态监测围岩以及渗压信息,建立了包含10个指标在内的突涌水评估指标体系;其次,采用博弈论组合赋权法优化主客观权重向量,构建改进功效系数模型以计算各风险等级下的综合功效系数,并在归一化处理后确定风险发生概率;最后,根据最大隶属度原则确定风险等级并预测水量范围。以鸡公岭隧道和跃龙门隧道为例,应用该方法对施工中的突涌水风险进行了预测。结果表明:所提出的基于博弈论组合权重和改进功效系数的隧道施工期突涌水灾害风险预测方法与现场开挖结果吻合较好;该方法综合考虑评估指标和风险等级之间非线性关系使预测结果更接近实际施工情况,在评估风险等级的同时实现了风险概率和涌水量范围的预测。 展开更多
关键词 风险评估 突涌水 施工期 围岩监测 改进功效系数
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底板突水危险性评价研究进展 被引量:3
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作者 姚辉 尹慧超 +5 位作者 尹尚先 侯恩科 毕梦 连会青 夏向学 梁满玉 《煤炭科学技术》 EI CAS CSCD 北大核心 2024年第S01期183-191,共9页
回顾了煤层底板突水危险性评价的发展历程,提出其危险性评价的体系:指标(指标体系的建立)—方法(评价方法的选取)—工具(处理工具的革新),并对3个环节进行总结。指出指标体系的发展不再是因素集的扩充,而是因素与因素之间非线性关系的... 回顾了煤层底板突水危险性评价的发展历程,提出其危险性评价的体系:指标(指标体系的建立)—方法(评价方法的选取)—工具(处理工具的革新),并对3个环节进行总结。指出指标体系的发展不再是因素集的扩充,而是因素与因素之间非线性关系的处理以及对以开采条件及地质条件为两大基本要素集的化繁为简;将现有方法依据处理数据的逻辑分为3类:以数据的基础信息为基准,将原始数据对评价对象所产生的大小、高低、优劣性影响进行考量、排序及综合形成评价结果的第一类方法;对数据列进行人工评判、加工分析、拓展和延伸,挖掘数据的潜在信息,并形成最终评价结果的第2类方法;整理具有相同指标的数据集,通过数据信息处理技术发现数据间的共有信息,从而获得最终评价结果的第3类方法。指出未来评价方法的发展方向一方面是对突水系数法的传承,修正其在厚、巨厚、极薄隔水层的不良表现,另一方面是对机器学习新型方法的创新,对其本身及组合模型进行开发与应用。提出了处理工具所需实现的三大目标:矿井立体化模型的建立、评价结果的动态化演示、“定位、定量、定概率”三定指标的实现。分别探讨了三者面临的问题并阐述具体解决手段。在上述基础上,总体阐明了煤层底板突水危险性评价体系各环节的研究展望。 展开更多
关键词 带压开采 底板突水 危险性评价 突水系数 神经网络
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富水区隧道涌水突泥预警及风险源控制技术研究 被引量:1
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作者 谭艳臣 姚婉婷 +6 位作者 唐亮 冯忠居 常泽洲 王富春 王伟 金熙宾 李德 《交通节能与环保》 2024年第6期248-253,共6页
为减少富水区公路隧道施工中的涌水突泥灾害,本文依托古兜山隧道工程,提出了多种针对涌水突泥隧道地段的超前地质预报方法及风险源控制技术:(1)提出了分级管理的隧道超前地质预报方法,根据围岩等级选用地质调查、TSP、地质雷达、超前地... 为减少富水区公路隧道施工中的涌水突泥灾害,本文依托古兜山隧道工程,提出了多种针对涌水突泥隧道地段的超前地质预报方法及风险源控制技术:(1)提出了分级管理的隧道超前地质预报方法,根据围岩等级选用地质调查、TSP、地质雷达、超前地质钻孔方法进行综合预报;(2)采用了大管棚、小导管及帷幕注浆超前支护方法,对古兜山隧道涌水突泥风险进行控制,有效避免了在富水区出现涌水突泥现象。 展开更多
关键词 富水区 隧道 涌水 突泥 控制技术
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