To overcome the deficiencies of the existing Verhulst GM(1,1) model, based on the existing grey theory, a non-equal-interval direct optimum Verhulst GM(1,1) model is built which chooses a modified n-th component x(n) ...To overcome the deficiencies of the existing Verhulst GM(1,1) model, based on the existing grey theory, a non-equal-interval direct optimum Verhulst GM(1,1) model is built which chooses a modified n-th component x(n) of X(0) as the starting condition of the grey differential model. It optimizes a modified β value and the background value, and takes two times fitting optimization. The new model extends equal intervals to non-equal-intervals and is suitable for general data modelling and estimating parameters of the direct Verhulst GM(1,1). The new model does not need to pre-process the primitive data, nor accumulate generating operation (AGO) and inverse accumulated generating operation (IAGO). It is not only suitable for equal interval data modelling, but also for non-equal interval data modelling. As the new information is fully used and two times fitting optimization is taken, the fitting accuracy is the highest in all existing models. The example shows that the new model is simple and practical. The new model is worth expanding on and applying in data processing or on-line monitoring for tests, social sciences and other engineering sciences.展开更多
Applying the modeling method of Grey system and accumulated generating operation of reciprocal number for the problem of lower precision as well as lower adaptability in non-equidistant GM (1, 1) model, the calculatio...Applying the modeling method of Grey system and accumulated generating operation of reciprocal number for the problem of lower precision as well as lower adaptability in non-equidistant GM (1, 1) model, the calculation formulas were deduced and a non-equidistant GRM (1, 1) model generated by accumulated generating operation of reciprocal number was put forward .The grey GRM (1, 1) model can be used in non-equal interval & equal interval time series and has the characteristic of high precision as well as high adaptability. Example validates the practicability and reliability of the proposed model.展开更多
基金The 11th Five-Year Plan for Key Constructing Academic Subject of Hunan Province(No.XJT2006180)Natural Science Foundation of Hunan Province (No.07JJ3093)Hunan Province Foundation Research Program (No.2007FJ3030,2007GK3058)
文摘To overcome the deficiencies of the existing Verhulst GM(1,1) model, based on the existing grey theory, a non-equal-interval direct optimum Verhulst GM(1,1) model is built which chooses a modified n-th component x(n) of X(0) as the starting condition of the grey differential model. It optimizes a modified β value and the background value, and takes two times fitting optimization. The new model extends equal intervals to non-equal-intervals and is suitable for general data modelling and estimating parameters of the direct Verhulst GM(1,1). The new model does not need to pre-process the primitive data, nor accumulate generating operation (AGO) and inverse accumulated generating operation (IAGO). It is not only suitable for equal interval data modelling, but also for non-equal interval data modelling. As the new information is fully used and two times fitting optimization is taken, the fitting accuracy is the highest in all existing models. The example shows that the new model is simple and practical. The new model is worth expanding on and applying in data processing or on-line monitoring for tests, social sciences and other engineering sciences.
文摘Applying the modeling method of Grey system and accumulated generating operation of reciprocal number for the problem of lower precision as well as lower adaptability in non-equidistant GM (1, 1) model, the calculation formulas were deduced and a non-equidistant GRM (1, 1) model generated by accumulated generating operation of reciprocal number was put forward .The grey GRM (1, 1) model can be used in non-equal interval & equal interval time series and has the characteristic of high precision as well as high adaptability. Example validates the practicability and reliability of the proposed model.
