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An Improved Method to an Impulsive and Delayed Discretized Model
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作者 Yujing Liu Lijun Zhang Shujing Gao 《Applied Mathematics》 2016年第1期108-123,共16页
In this paper, a discretized SIR model with pulse vaccination and time delay is proposed. We introduce two thresholds R* and R<sub>*</sub>, and further prove that the disease-free periodic solution is glob... In this paper, a discretized SIR model with pulse vaccination and time delay is proposed. We introduce two thresholds R* and R<sub>*</sub>, and further prove that the disease-free periodic solution is globally attractive if R* is less than unit and the disease can invade if R<sub>*</sub> is larger than unit. The numerical simulations not only illustrate the validity of our main results, but also exhibit bifurcation phenomenon. Our result shows that decreasing infection rate can put off the disease outbreak and reduce the number of infected individuals. 展开更多
关键词 discrete Epidemic model time delay Pulse Vaccination EXTINCTION
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A novel mathematical model on Peer-to-Peer botnet
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作者 任玮 宋礼鹏 冯丽萍 《Journal of Measurement Science and Instrumentation》 CAS 2014年第4期62-67,共6页
Peer-to-Peer (P2P) botnet has emerged as one of the most serious threats to lnternet security. To effectively elimi- nate P2P botnet, a delayed SEIR model is proposed,which can portray the formation process of P2P b... Peer-to-Peer (P2P) botnet has emerged as one of the most serious threats to lnternet security. To effectively elimi- nate P2P botnet, a delayed SEIR model is proposed,which can portray the formation process of P2P botnet. Then, the local stability at equilibria is carefully analyzed by considering the eigenvalues' distributed ranges of characteristic equations. Both mathematical analysis and numerical simulations show that the dynamical features of the proposed model rely on the basic re- production number and time delay r. The results can help us to better understand the propagation behaviors of P2P botnet and design effective counter-botnet methods. 展开更多
关键词 Peer-to-Peer (P2P) botnet STaBILITY seir model time delay
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ALMOST PERIODIC SOLUTION FOR A DISCRETE HEMATOPOIESIS MODEL WITH TIME DELAY 被引量:1
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作者 YONGKUN LI TIANWEI ZHANG 《International Journal of Biomathematics》 2012年第1期35-43,共9页
In this paper, we consider the discrete Hematopoiesis model with a time delay: x(n+1)-x(n)=-r(n)x(n)+a(n)/(1+x^u(n-r)) Sufficient conditions for the existence of a unique uniformly asymptotically sta... In this paper, we consider the discrete Hematopoiesis model with a time delay: x(n+1)-x(n)=-r(n)x(n)+a(n)/(1+x^u(n-r)) Sufficient conditions for the existence of a unique uniformly asymptotically stable positive almost periodic solution are obtained by the work of IS. N. Zhang, G. Zheng, Almost periodic solutions of delay difference systems, Appl. Math. Comput. 131 (2002) 497 516]. Some examples are considered to illustrate the main results. 展开更多
关键词 time delay discrete hematopoiesis model almost periodic solution.
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A New Sliding Function for Discrete Predictive Sliding Mode Control of Time Delay Systems 被引量:9
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作者 Abdennebi Nizar Ben Mansour Houda Nouri Ahmed Said 《International Journal of Automation and computing》 EI CSCD 2013年第4期288-295,共8页
The control of time delay systems is still an open area for research. This paper proposes an enhanced model predictive discrete-time sliding mode control with a new sliding function for a linear system with state dela... The control of time delay systems is still an open area for research. This paper proposes an enhanced model predictive discrete-time sliding mode control with a new sliding function for a linear system with state delay. Firstly, a new sliding function including a present value and a past value of the state, called dynamic surface, is designed by means of linear matrix inequalities (LMIs). Then, using this dynamic function and the rolling optimization method in the predictive control strategy, a discrete predictive sliding mode controller is synthesized. This new strategy is proposed to eliminate the undesirable effect of the delay term in the closed loop system. Also, the designed control strategy is more robust, and has a chattering reduction property and a faster convergence of the system s state. Finally, a numerical example is given to illustrate the effectiveness of the proposed control. 展开更多
关键词 State time delay systems discrete sliding mode control model predictive control dynamic sliding function linear matrix inequalities (LMIs) chattering.
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应用时滞离散SEIR模型评价水痘暴发疫情控制措施效果 被引量:10
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作者 潘金仁 黄峥强 陈坤 《中华预防医学杂志》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 2012年第4期343-347,共5页
目的应用时滞离散SEIR模型对一起水痘暴发疫情开展预测及控制措施效果理论评价。方法在对连续SEIR模型作离散化处理的基础上,考虑水痘潜隐期和传染期的时滞效应建立时滞离散模型,以拟合模型得到的理论发病数进行疫情预测。比较实施不... 目的应用时滞离散SEIR模型对一起水痘暴发疫情开展预测及控制措施效果理论评价。方法在对连续SEIR模型作离散化处理的基础上,考虑水痘潜隐期和传染期的时滞效应建立时滞离散模型,以拟合模型得到的理论发病数进行疫情预测。比较实施不同控制措施时的模拟结果,对控制措施效果进行理论评价。结果不采取控制措施时,模型估计的理论罹:患率为3016%(504/1671),流行过程历时4个月,发病高峰出现在首例发病后的78d,流行过程可见明显的“代际”现象,每代之间间隔约2周。实际发病数与未采取控制措施的模拟发病数相比减少了89.48%(451/504)。模拟对所有病例在其发病当日进行隔离,在首发病例发病的当天及第14、28、42天开始实施隔离措施,得到的总发病数分别为22、59、127和220例。模拟在首发病例发病的第14天开始实施隔离措施,当隔离率为30%、50%、70%、90%时,得到的总发病数分别为485、457、386和169例。模拟应急接种的接种率为100%,在首发病例发病的当天及第14、28、42天实施接种.得到的总发病数分别为7、26、81和202例。模拟在首发病例发病的第14天实施应急接种,当接种率为30%、50%、70%、90%时,得到的总发病数分别为354、246、127和40例。结论模型预测的理论发病数可以为水痘暴发时现场控制措施效果评价提供参照。模拟结果表明,越早实施病例隔离和应急接种措施收益越明显,应急接种的效果优于同等条件下实施病例隔离的效果。 展开更多
关键词 传染病控制 疾病暴发流行 时滞离散seir模型
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时滞离散SEIR模型在评价水痘暴发疫情防控措施效果中的应用 被引量:9
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作者 郑庆鸣 王铁强 《疾病监测》 CAS 2017年第10期883-889,共7页
目的运用时滞离散SEIR模型预测水痘暴发疫情发病数,以评估疫情控制措施的实际应用效果。方法采用时滞离散SEIR模型对暴发疫情数据进行模拟,评价病例隔离、应急接种等疫情控制措施的实施效果。结果不采取任何干预措施时,模拟水痘暴发疫... 目的运用时滞离散SEIR模型预测水痘暴发疫情发病数,以评估疫情控制措施的实际应用效果。方法采用时滞离散SEIR模型对暴发疫情数据进行模拟,评价病例隔离、应急接种等疫情控制措施的实施效果。结果不采取任何干预措施时,模拟水痘暴发疫情理论的发病数为434人,罹患率为30.58%(434/1 419),流行过程历时3个月,发病高峰在首发病例发生后60天,流行过程中可见明显的"代际"现象,每代间隔2周左右。模拟在首发病例发病当日、第14、28、42天开始实施100%病例隔离,总发病数分别为5、13、34和78人。模拟在首发病例发病后第14天采取病例隔离措施,隔离率分别为30%、50%、70%和90%时,总发病数分别为370、323、230和52人。模拟首发病例发病当日、第14、28和42天时实施应急接种,接种率100%时,总发病数分别为5、14、37和84人。模拟首发病例发病后第14天实施应急接种,接种率分别为30%、50%、70%和90%时,总发病数分别为262、150、52和19人。本文模拟的水痘暴发疫情实际发病118人,隔离率为82.20%(97/118),模拟首发病例发病后第30天采取病例隔离措施,隔离率82.20%,理论总发病数为148人,比实际发病多30人。结论时滞离散SEIR模型能较好地预测水痘暴发疫情规模,可从理论上评价防控措施对疫情的影响;尽早严格实施病例隔离和高覆盖率的应急接种均是有效的水痘疫情控制措施。 展开更多
关键词 水痘 暴发疫情 时滞离散seir模型 传染病控制
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