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Implementation of Clinical Diagnostic Criteria and Universal Symptom Survey Contributed to Lower Magnitude and Faster Resolution of the COVID-19 Epidemic in Wuhan 被引量:10
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作者 Yongyue Wei Liangmin Wei +10 位作者 Yue Jiang Sipeng Shen Yang Zhao yuantao hao Zhicheng Du Jinling Tang Zhijie Zhang Qingwu Jiang Liming Li Feng Chen Hongbing Shen 《Engineering》 SCIE EI 2020年第10期1287-1293,共7页
自新型冠状病毒肺炎(coronavirus disease 2019, COVID-19)疫情发生以来,中国大多数的病例集中在武汉市。虽然早期病例数和死亡人数迅速增加,但通过采取多种防控措施,疫情得以快速遏制。纵观全球,疫情已蔓延至全球六大洲的187个国家,确... 自新型冠状病毒肺炎(coronavirus disease 2019, COVID-19)疫情发生以来,中国大多数的病例集中在武汉市。虽然早期病例数和死亡人数迅速增加,但通过采取多种防控措施,疫情得以快速遏制。纵观全球,疫情已蔓延至全球六大洲的187个国家,确诊病例数已超过300万,这一数字仍在快速增长。在此特殊背景下,有必要对我国疫情防控措施开展科学的、定量的评估,为全球疫情防控提供决策依据。为此,本研究评估了临床诊断标准实施和全城症状排查对武汉市疫情控制的贡献。考虑COVID-19的传播机理、隔离措施等,建立SEIR+Q传播动力学模型。基于武汉市截至2020年2月14日官方公布的每日确诊病例数和未确诊的临床诊断病例数进行建模,并预测2月14日以后的疫情态势。基于实际疫情数据,与模型预测趋势相比较,评价防控措施效果。结果显示,若维持2月14日以前防控措施不变,那么预测将于3月25日和4月29日,每日新增病例数分别降至100例和10例以下,将于5月31日首次现零。而事实上,截至3月6日,武汉市每日新增病例数降至100例以下,截至3月11日降至10例以下,3月18日首次实现零增长,较之模型预测结果分别提前了19 d、49 d和74 d。截至3月30日,实际累计病例数为50 006例,比模型预测值减少19 951例。有效再生数[effective reproductive number, R(t)]分析显示,2月6-10日的第一次全城症状排查后,R(t)显现出下降趋势,2月12-14日的临床诊断标准实施和2月17-19日的第二次全城症状排查后,R(t)显现出较大的降幅,与实际情况较为一致。综上所述,武汉市临床诊断标准的实施和全城症状排查等综合防控措施成效显著,可为世界各国的疫情防控决策提供科学依据。 展开更多
关键词 COVID-19 SEIR+Q传染病动力学模型 临床诊断标准 全城症状排查 干预效果评价
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Disciplinary development of global health academic degree programs in China 被引量:1
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作者 Lixin Sun Duan Zhao +7 位作者 Shangzhi Xiong Angela Renne Zhi-Jie Zheng hao Xiang Xiaokui Guo Kun Tang yuantao hao Lijing L.Yan 《Global Health Journal》 2021年第2期102-111,共10页
This study aims to provide a brief overview of the history and development of global health education(GHE)as academic degree programs worldwide,and to identify GHE’s development opportunities and obstacles in China.T... This study aims to provide a brief overview of the history and development of global health education(GHE)as academic degree programs worldwide,and to identify GHE’s development opportunities and obstacles in China.This is a state-of-the-art review of published and unpublished information that described and evaluated disciplinary development of global health degree programs worldwide,written in English,and published or shared between 1990 and 2020.Data were derived from official websites of leading global health institutions,like“Google Scholar”,“PubMed”,and unpublished information such as presentation files and unpublished manuscripts collected from knowledgeable leaders in the field.We retrieved and reviewed a total of 35 articles and a large amount of unpublished information or sources on the internet.Global Health emerged as a new discipline around the end of the last millennium and proliferated in the last two decades in developed nations,especially the United States and the United Kingdom.The development of China’s GHE programs was built on China’s increasing engagement in global health affairs and research.In 2012,Wuhan University established the first official global health department in China.Several universities such as Peking University and Duke Kunshan University subsequently set up departments or programs to offer undergraduate and postgraduate majors and degrees.The first school-level global health unit was established in Shanghai in 2019.The Consortium of Chinese Universities for Global Health(CCUGH)grew from 10 founding members in 2013 to 25 in 2020.Major desirable attributes“unique”to students majoring in global health include global-mindedness,health interests,compassion,intercultural sensitivity,and adventurous spirit.Graduates from GHE programs have a diverse set of career choices spanning research,government,not-for-profit,and private sector occupations.We identified a number of strengths,weaknesses,opportunities,and threats to the future development of GHE in China.To ensure sustainable future growth,we advocate addressing the following key aspects:(1)clearer disciplinary distinctions;(2)multidisciplinary collaborations;(3)public-sector investments;and(4)non-public sectors participation.Amidst China’s increasing engagement in health affairs globally and the proliferation of GHE programs in developed nations,China has experienced fast growth in GHE degree programs since 2012 while a number of challenges remain for its future development. 展开更多
关键词 Global health EDUCATION Academic degree DISCIPLINE China
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Prevalence and trends of polypharmacy in U.S.adults,1999-2018 被引量:2
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作者 Xiaowen Wang Keyang Liu +5 位作者 Kokoro Shirai Chengyao Tang Yonghua Hu Ying Wang yuantao hao Jia-Yi Dong 《Global Health Research and Policy》 2023年第1期284-292,共9页
Background Polypharmacy is one of the most important health issues for its potential impacts on disease burden and healthcare costs.The aim of this study was to update a comprehensive picture of prevalence and trends ... Background Polypharmacy is one of the most important health issues for its potential impacts on disease burden and healthcare costs.The aim of this study was to update a comprehensive picture of prevalence and trends in polypharmacy over 20 years in U.S.adults.Methods Participants included 55,081 adults aged≥20 from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey,January 1,1999,through December 31,2018.The simultaneously use of≥5 drugs in one individual was defined as polypharmacy.National prevalence and trends in polypharmacy were evaluated among U.S.adults within different demo-socioeconomic status and pre-existing diseases.Results From 1999-2000 to 2017-2018,the overall percentages of adults with polypharmacy remained on the rise,increasing from 8.2%(7.2-9.2%)to 17.1%(15.7-18.5%)(average annual percentage change[AAPC]=2.9%,P=.001).The polypharmacy prevalence was considerably higher in the elderly(from 23.5%to 44.1%),in adults with heart disease(from 40.6%to 61.7%),and in adults with diabetes(from 36.3%to 57.7%).Also,we observed a greater increase rate of polypharmacy in men(AAPC=4.1%,P<.001),in the Mexican American(AAPC=6.3%,P<.001),and in the non-Hispanic Black(AAPC=4.4%,P<.001).Conclusions From 1999-2000 to 2017-2018,the prevalence of polypharmacy is continually increasing in U.S.adults.The polypharmacy was especially higher in the older,in patients with heart disease,or diabetes.The high prevalence urges the healthcare providers and health policymakers to manage polypharmacy among specific population groups. 展开更多
关键词 POLYPHARMACY National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey NHANES Trends PREVALENCE MEDICATION
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Reproductive health in Southeast Asian women:current situation and the influence factors
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作者 Chenyang Feng Yingsi Lai +5 位作者 Ruixue Li Yijing Wang Jing Gu Chun hao Dong (Roman) Xu yuantao hao 《Global Health Journal》 2018年第1期32-41,共10页
Background:The reproductive health addresses the reproductive processes,functions and system at all stages of life.Enhancing the level of global reproductive health is the goal of sustained attention and struggle by t... Background:The reproductive health addresses the reproductive processes,functions and system at all stages of life.Enhancing the level of global reproductive health is the goal of sustained attention and struggle by the international community.The social and economic development in Southeast Asia is lagging behind,and its female reproductive health is worrying,while the differences of female reproductive health among different regions are significant.Objective:To obtains the necessity and urgency of strengthening the reproductive health level of Southeast Asian countries,so as to provide the basis for the priorities and target to policy-makers and health administrators to improve reproductive health.Methods:Literature review were searched in PubMed,Web of Science databases,Google scholar database,and WHO's webpages.Maternal mortality ratio,contraceptive rates,unmet need for family planning,antenatal and postnatal care coverage,and sexually transmitted disease were the five key indicators and the influence factors for female reproductive health status in Southeast Asian countries.Results:The reproductive health of Southeast Asian women were still at a lower level overall and varied in different regions and conntries.Women's education and attitude,accessibility of service,socioeconomic and cultural factors,etc.were the potential influencing factors.Conclusion:There is left quite large space for improvement to the reproductive health in Southeast Asian countries and efficient interventions can be achieved for the key and easier-improved risk factors such as education and in high-risk areas. 展开更多
关键词 REPRODUCTIVE HEALTH SOUTHEAST ASIA FEMALE REVIEW
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Prevalence of hypertension and prehypertension in Nepal:a systematic review and meta-analysis
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作者 Yun Huang Pi Guo +3 位作者 Biraj M.Karmacharya Sharvesh Raj Seeruttun Dong Roman Xu yuantao hao 《Global Health Research and Policy》 2019年第1期293-302,共10页
Background:Studies regarding blood pressure of Nepal have demonstrated a contrasting prevalence.We aimed at providing a generalized estimate of the prevalence of hypertension and prehypertension in urban,suburban,and ... Background:Studies regarding blood pressure of Nepal have demonstrated a contrasting prevalence.We aimed at providing a generalized estimate of the prevalence of hypertension and prehypertension in urban,suburban,and rural areas of Nepal.Methods:This systematic review followed PRISMA guidelines.A thorough search of PubMed,EMBASE,and Web of Science was performed,and studies satisfying the eligibility criteria were reviewed.Pooled prevalence was calculated by random-effects model,and the sources of heterogeneity were explored with meta-regression and subgroup analysis.Results:Twenty-three studies with 99,792 subjects were identified,and the estimated rate of hypertension and prehypertension were found to be 27.3%(95%CI:23.8-30.9)and 35.4%(30.3-40.8).The prevalence of hypertension was 28.4%(22.4-34.7),25.5%(21.4-29.8),and 24.4%(17.9-31.6)among urban,suburban,and rural populations,respectively.Moreover,rates of hypertension were found to be substantially higher in male(31.6%,27.3-36.1)compared to female(20.0%,14.2-26.6),and significantly higher among the middle-aged(≥40 years;36.8%,29.4-44.5)than among younger adults(<40 years;13.2%,9.2-17.7).Further,prehypertension prevalence was found to be highest in rural areas(40.4%,25.4-56.4)followed by urban areas(29.3%,20.8-38.5)and lowest in suburban areas(25.5%,18.9-32.7).Conclusions:Our study identified an alarming situation of hypertension among Nepalese males and middle-aged,and a situation of concern with prehypertension in rural areas affecting almost 40%of the population. 展开更多
关键词 HYPERTENSION PREHYPERTENSION PREVALENCE Nepal Systematic review META-ANALYSIS
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Regional years of life lost,years lived with disability,and disability-adjusted life-years for severe mental disorders in Guangdong Province,China:a real-world longitudinal study
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作者 Wenyan Tan Lichang Chen +8 位作者 Yuqin Zhang Junyan Xi yuantao hao Fujun Jia Brian JHall Jing Gu Shibin Wang Haicheng Lin Xiao Lin 《Global Health Research and Policy》 2022年第1期401-414,共14页
Background:To understand the magnitude and spatial-temporal distribution of the regional burden attributable to severe mental disorders is of great essential and high policy relevance.The study aimed to address the bu... Background:To understand the magnitude and spatial-temporal distribution of the regional burden attributable to severe mental disorders is of great essential and high policy relevance.The study aimed to address the burden of severe mental disorders by evaluating the years of life lost,years lived with disability,and disability-adjusted life-years(DALYs)in Guangdong,China.Methods:We undertook a longitudinal study based on a multicenter database established by the Health Commission of Guangdong,involving a total of 21 prefectures and four economic regions in the Guangdong province.A total of 520,731 medical records from patients with severe mental disorders were collected for 2010-2020.Data were analyzed via an integrated evaluation framework by synthesizing prevalence estimates,epidemiological adjustment as well as comorbidity assessment to develop internally consistent estimates of DALY.DALY changes during 2010-2020 were decomposed by population growth and aging and further grouped by Socio-demographic Index(SDI).DALYs were projected to 2030 by the weighted median annualized rate of change in 2010-2020.Results:In 2010-2020,the average DALYs for severe mental disorders reached 798,474(95%uncertainty interval[UI]:536,280-1,270,465)person-years(52.2%for males,and 47.8%for females).Severe mental disorders led to a great amount of disease burden,especially in Guangzhou,Shenzhen,and Foshan cities.Schizophrenia and mental retardation with mental disorders were the two leading sources of the burden ascribed to severe mental disorders.Population growth and aging could be accountable for the increasing burden of severe mental disorders.Economic regions with higher SDI carried a greater burden but had lower annualized rates of change in DALYs.The overall burden of severe mental disorders is projected to rise modestly over the next decade.Conclusions:The findings urge prioritization of initiatives focused on public mental health,prevention strategies,health resources reallocation,and active involvement of authorities to effectively address the anticipated needs. 展开更多
关键词 Burden of disease Disability-adjusted life-years Severe mental disorders COMORBIDITY Socio-demographic index
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Implementation and evaluation of crowdsourcing in global health education
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作者 Huanle Cai Huiqiong Zheng +4 位作者 Jinghua Li Chun hao Jing Gu Jing Liao yuantao hao 《Global Health Research and Policy》 2022年第1期1-9,共9页
Background:Current global health course is most set as elective course taught in traditional teacher-taught model with low credit and short term.Innovate teaching models are required.Crowdsourcing characterized by hig... Background:Current global health course is most set as elective course taught in traditional teacher-taught model with low credit and short term.Innovate teaching models are required.Crowdsourcing characterized by high flexibility and strong application-orientation holds its potential to enhance global health education.We applied crowdsourcing to global health teaching for undergraduates,aiming to develop and evaluate a new teaching model for global health education.Methods:Crowdsourcing was implemented into traditional course-based teaching via introducing five COVID-19 related global health debates.Undergraduate students majoring in preventative medicine and nursing grouped in teams of 5-8,were asked to resolve these debates in reference to main content of the course and with manner they thought most effective to deliver the messages.Students’experience and teaching effect,were evaluated by questionnaires and teachers’ratings,respectively.McNemar’s test was used to compare the difference in students’experience before and after the course,and regression models were used to explore the influencing factors of the teaching effect.Results:A total of 172 undergraduates were included,of which 122(71%)were females.Students’evaluation of the new teaching model improved after the course,but were polarized.Students’self-reported teaching effect averaged 67.53±16.8 and the teachers’rating score averaged 90.84±4.9.Students majoring in preventive medicine,participated in student union,spent more time on revision,and had positive feedback on the new teaching model tended to perform better.Conclusion:We innovatively implemented crowdsourcing into global health teaching,and found this new teaching model was positively received by undergraduate students with improved teaching effects.More studies are needed to optimize the implementation of crowdsourcing alike new methods into global health education,to enrich global health teaching models. 展开更多
关键词 Global health Crowdsourcing Teaching model Effect evaluation
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Drawing on the Development Experiences of Infectious Disease Surveillance Systems Around the World
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作者 Huimin Sun Weihua Hu +1 位作者 Yongyue Wei yuantao hao 《China CDC weekly》 SCIE CSCD 2024年第41期1065-1074,共10页
High-quality infectious disease surveillance systems are foundational to infectious disease prevention and control.Current major infectious disease surveillance systems globally can be categorized as either indicatorb... High-quality infectious disease surveillance systems are foundational to infectious disease prevention and control.Current major infectious disease surveillance systems globally can be categorized as either indicatorbased,which are more specific,or event-based,which are more timely.Modern surveillance systems commonly utilize multi-source data,strengthened information sharing,advanced technology,and improved early warning accuracy and sensitivity.International experience may provide valuable insights for China.China’s existing infectious disease surveillance systems require urgent enhancements to monitor emerging infectious diseases and improve the integration and learning capabilities of early warning models.Methods such as establishing multi-stage surveillance systems,promoting cross-sectoral and cross-provincial data sharing,applying advanced technologies like artificial intelligence,and cultivating professional talent should be adopted to enhance the development of intelligent and multipoint-triggered infectious disease surveillance systems in China. 展开更多
关键词 China STRENGTHENED utilize
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Assessing the impact of comorbid type 2 diabetes mellitus on the disease burden of chronic hepatitis B virus infection and its complications in China from 2006 to 2030:a modeling study
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作者 Jinzhao Xie Xu Wang +4 位作者 Xinran Wang Jinghua Li Yusheng Jie yuantao hao Jing Gu 《Global Health Research and Policy》 2024年第1期567-577,共11页
Background China bears a high burden of both hepatitis B virus(HBV)infection and type 2 diabetes mellitus(T2DM).T2DM accelerates the progression of liver disease among individuals infected with HBV.This study aims to ... Background China bears a high burden of both hepatitis B virus(HBV)infection and type 2 diabetes mellitus(T2DM).T2DM accelerates the progression of liver disease among individuals infected with HBV.This study aims to assess the excess disease burden caused by comorbid T2DM among HBV-infected individuals in China.Methods We estimated the disease burden of HBV and its complications in China from 2006 to 2030 using individual-based Markov models.The baseline population consisted of 93 million HBV-infected individuals derived from the 2006 National Serological Epidemiological Survey.We developed two models:one incorporated the impact of T2DM on the disease progression of HBV infection,while the other did not consider the impact of T2DM.By com-paring the outcomes between these two models,we estimated the excess disease burden attributable to comorbid T2DM among HBV-infected individuals.Results The incidence of severe HBV complications,including cirrhosis,hepatocellular carcinoma(HCC),and liver-related deaths,exhibited an increasing trend from 2006 to 2030 among the Chinese HBV-infected population.Comor-bid T2DM increased the annual incidence and cumulative cases of severe HBV complications.From 2006 to 2022,comorbid T2DM caused 791,000(11.41%),244,000(9.27%),377,000(8.78%),and 796,000(12.19%)excess cases of compensated cirrhosis,decompensated cirrhosis,HCC,and liver-related deaths,respectively.From 2023 to 2030,comorbid T2DM is projected to result in an 8.69%excess in severe HBV complications and an 8.95%increase in liver-related deaths.Among individuals aged 60 and older at baseline,comorbid T2DM led to a 21.68%excess in severe HBV complications and a 28.70%increase in liver-related deaths from 2006 to 2022,with projections indicating a fur-ther 20.76%increase in severe HBV complications and an 18.31%rise in liver-related deaths over the next seven years.Conclusions Comorbid T2DM imposes a substantial disease burden on individuals with HBV infection in China.Healthcare providers and health policymakers should develop and implement tailored strategies for the effective management and control of T2DM in individuals with HBV infection. 展开更多
关键词 Hepatitis B virus infection Diabetes mellitus Comorbidity China Markov Disease burden
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The development of a performance evaluation index system for Chinese Centers for Disease Control and Prevention:a Delphi consensus study
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作者 Huimin Sun Ying Wang +5 位作者 Huanle Cai Pengyu Wang Jie Jiang Congxing Shi Yongyue Wei yuantao hao 《Global Health Research and Policy》 2024年第1期315-328,共14页
Background The performance evaluation of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention(CDC)is crucial for enhancing the quality of public health services.With the ongoing reform of the CDC system in China,the existin... Background The performance evaluation of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention(CDC)is crucial for enhancing the quality of public health services.With the ongoing reform of the CDC system in China,the existing performance evaluation system faces challenges.This study used the Delphi method to develop a new performance evaluation system for China’s provincial,city,and county-level CDC.Methods Following the“Structure-Process-Outcome”model,assessment indicators were systematically collected.Indicators were modified and screened through two Delphi rounds based on CDC responsibilities,health develop-ment,and national policies.Twenty-four experts provided ratings and recommendations,and the research team evaluated questionnaire reliability,expert positivity,expert authority,and opinion consistency.Results The preliminary index system identified through the literature review and pre-survey included 11 primary,30 secondary,and 64 tertiary indicators.After the first round of consultation,two secondary indicators and 11 ter-tiary indicators were removed and 22 tertiary indicators were added.After the second round of consultation,three secondary indicators and 11 tertiary indicators were removed and three tertiary indicators were added,at which point the p-value of the test for Kendall’s coefficient of concordance W was<0.001 and the coefficient of variation was within acceptable limits(<0.25),so the consultation was concluded.The final index system included 11 primary,25 secondary,and 67 tertiary indicators.Conclusions This study responded to the CDC system reform by developing a comprehensive performance evalua-tion index system for provincial,city,and county-level CDC in China.The index system is both scientifically grounded and practical,serving as an effective tool for promoting the high-quality work of CDC organizations. 展开更多
关键词 Delphi method Performance evaluation CDC Public health Index system
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A review on COVID-19 transmission,epidemiological features,prevention and vaccination 被引量:3
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作者 Yuqin Zhang Gonghua Wu +7 位作者 Shirui Chen Xu Ju Wumitijiang Yimaer Wangjian Zhang Shao Lin yuantao hao Jing Gu Jinghua Li 《Medical Review》 2022年第1期23-49,共27页
Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2(SARS-CoV-2)has caused hundreds of millions of infections and millions of deaths over past two years.Currently,many countries have still not been able to take the pandemi... Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2(SARS-CoV-2)has caused hundreds of millions of infections and millions of deaths over past two years.Currently,many countries have still not been able to take the pandemic under control.In this review,we systematically summarized what we have done to mitigate the COVID-19 pandemic,from the perspectives of virus transmission,public health control measures,to the development and vaccination of COVID-19 vaccines.As a virus most likely coming from bats,the SARS-CoV-2 may transmit among people via airborne,faecal-oral,vertical or foodborne routes.Ourmeta-analysis suggested that the R0 of COVID-19 was 2.9(95%CI:2.7–3.1),and the estimates in Africa and Europe could be higher.The median Rt could decrease by 23–96%following the nonpharmacological interventions,including lockdown,isolation,social distance,and face mask,etc.Comprehensive intervention and lockdown were the most effective measures to control the pandemic.According to the pooled R0 in our meta-analysis,there should be at least 93.3%(95%CI:89.9–96.2%)people being vaccinated around the world.Limited amount of vaccines and the inequity issues in vaccine allocation call for more international cooperation to achieve the antiepidemic goals and vaccination fairness. 展开更多
关键词 CORONAVIRUS COVID-19 PANDEMIC REVIEW SARS-CoV-2
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