In recent years,mudflows have emerged as a significant threat to infrastructure and lives,exhibiting increased frequency and severity.This study collectively addresses the rising threat of natural hazards,specifically...In recent years,mudflows have emerged as a significant threat to infrastructure and lives,exhibiting increased frequency and severity.This study collectively addresses the rising threat of natural hazards,specifically mudflows in mountain-foothill zones in Tajikistan,utilizing UAV and remote sensing technologies to monitor their impact.From 2020 to 2023,we employed a QC-2 Micro UAV and a DJI Phantom 4 quadcopter to capture high-resolution aerial imagery across multiple affected districts,supplemented by pre-and post-event Sentinel-2 images analyzed using the Normalized Difference Water Index(NDWI)and Normalized Difference Vegetation Index(NDVI).Our analysis revealed that 49 districts and cities experienced significant mudflow events,resulting in estimated damages and economic losses of 30.2 million USD,with particularly severe impacts noted in the Khuroson,Tojikobod,Vakhsh,Panjakent,Lakhsh,and Varzob.The composition of mudflows in the six studied areas predominantly consisted of clay,with some regions featuring mudstone and a few exhibiting a mixture of both materials.Our findings indicate the predominance of rain-induced mudflows in foothill areas,contrasting with rain-snow,glacial,and lake-outburst-induced mudflows in mountainous regions.This underscores the urgent need for effective disaster risk management strategies in vulnerable locations.Integrating UAV and remote sensing technologies provides crucial information for analyzing damages,identifying vulnerable areas,and advising emergency response efforts,thereby enhancing disaster risk management in Tajikistan.展开更多
Glaciers in the Pamir region are experiencing rapid melting and receding due to climate change,which has a significant implication for the Amu Darya river basin.Predominantly,surging glaciers,which undergo unpredictab...Glaciers in the Pamir region are experiencing rapid melting and receding due to climate change,which has a significant implication for the Amu Darya river basin.Predominantly,surging glaciers,which undergo unpredictable advances,are potentially leading to the obstruction of high-altitude river channels and also glacial lake outburst floods.decrease of-703.5±30.0 m.There is a substantial increase in the number(from 19 to 75)and area(from 4889.7±0.6 m2 to 15345.5±0.6 m2)of RGS lakes along with supra-glacier ponds based on a comparison of ArcGIS base map in 2011 and high-resolution UAV data in 2023.For M glacier,number of lakes increased from 4 to 22 but the lake area declined from 10715.2±0.6 to 365.6±0.6 m2.It was noted that the largest lake in 2011 with an area of 10406.4±0.6 m2 at the southeastern portion of the glacier was not observed in 2023 due to outburst.Both the glaciers have substantially impacted the river flow(Abdukahor river)by obstructing a significant proportion of river channel in recent years and might cause outburst floods.These findings enhance the understanding of glacier dynamics and their impacts on the surrounding areas,emphasizing the urgent need for continued monitoring and appropriate management strategies,with a specific focus on surging glaciers and the associated risks.展开更多
Recent climate dynamics denote patterns and variations in climatic conditions and associated cryospheric changes in the Pamir region,affecting downstream ecosystems and communities.The present investigation describes ...Recent climate dynamics denote patterns and variations in climatic conditions and associated cryospheric changes in the Pamir region,affecting downstream ecosystems and communities.The present investigation describes changes in Baralmos glacier and supraglacial lakes,along with related hazards,using meteorological observations,reanalysis products,and high-resolution satellite imagery from 2002 to 2022.Moreover,observations using Unmanned Aerial Vehicles(UAVs)were conducted between 2020 and 2022 to document recent variations.Reanalysis data suggested that there are no obvious trends in annual air temperature and precipitation except for a significant temperature rise in July(the warmest month)of about 1.34°C/decade(p<0.05)and precipitation decrease in December(p<0.05).During the last two decades of investigation,lake areas expanded from 20500 to 62800±21 m2,representing an approximately threefold increase,leading to increased mudflows in the Surkhob river and causing severe damage to property and infrastructures,most prominently during 2020 and 2022.The UAV data reveal an average decrease of-2.7±0.5 m in surface elevation downstream of Baralmos glacier between 2020 and 2022.This study is vital for implementing more intensive measures of the glacial environment and defining suitable mitigation strategies in the Pamir region.展开更多
基金funded by the Gansu Provincial Science and Technology Program(22ZD6FA005)Gansu Postdoctoral Science Foundation(Grant number E339880204)。
文摘In recent years,mudflows have emerged as a significant threat to infrastructure and lives,exhibiting increased frequency and severity.This study collectively addresses the rising threat of natural hazards,specifically mudflows in mountain-foothill zones in Tajikistan,utilizing UAV and remote sensing technologies to monitor their impact.From 2020 to 2023,we employed a QC-2 Micro UAV and a DJI Phantom 4 quadcopter to capture high-resolution aerial imagery across multiple affected districts,supplemented by pre-and post-event Sentinel-2 images analyzed using the Normalized Difference Water Index(NDWI)and Normalized Difference Vegetation Index(NDVI).Our analysis revealed that 49 districts and cities experienced significant mudflow events,resulting in estimated damages and economic losses of 30.2 million USD,with particularly severe impacts noted in the Khuroson,Tojikobod,Vakhsh,Panjakent,Lakhsh,and Varzob.The composition of mudflows in the six studied areas predominantly consisted of clay,with some regions featuring mudstone and a few exhibiting a mixture of both materials.Our findings indicate the predominance of rain-induced mudflows in foothill areas,contrasting with rain-snow,glacial,and lake-outburst-induced mudflows in mountainous regions.This underscores the urgent need for effective disaster risk management strategies in vulnerable locations.Integrating UAV and remote sensing technologies provides crucial information for analyzing damages,identifying vulnerable areas,and advising emergency response efforts,thereby enhancing disaster risk management in Tajikistan.
基金funded by the Gansu Provincial Science and Technology Program(22ZD6FA005)Gansu Postdoctoral Science Foundation(Grant number-E339880204)。
文摘Glaciers in the Pamir region are experiencing rapid melting and receding due to climate change,which has a significant implication for the Amu Darya river basin.Predominantly,surging glaciers,which undergo unpredictable advances,are potentially leading to the obstruction of high-altitude river channels and also glacial lake outburst floods.decrease of-703.5±30.0 m.There is a substantial increase in the number(from 19 to 75)and area(from 4889.7±0.6 m2 to 15345.5±0.6 m2)of RGS lakes along with supra-glacier ponds based on a comparison of ArcGIS base map in 2011 and high-resolution UAV data in 2023.For M glacier,number of lakes increased from 4 to 22 but the lake area declined from 10715.2±0.6 to 365.6±0.6 m2.It was noted that the largest lake in 2011 with an area of 10406.4±0.6 m2 at the southeastern portion of the glacier was not observed in 2023 due to outburst.Both the glaciers have substantially impacted the river flow(Abdukahor river)by obstructing a significant proportion of river channel in recent years and might cause outburst floods.These findings enhance the understanding of glacier dynamics and their impacts on the surrounding areas,emphasizing the urgent need for continued monitoring and appropriate management strategies,with a specific focus on surging glaciers and the associated risks.
基金funded by the Gansu Provincial Science and Technology Program(22ZD6FA005)Gansu Postdoctoral Science Foundation(Grant number-E339880204)。
文摘Recent climate dynamics denote patterns and variations in climatic conditions and associated cryospheric changes in the Pamir region,affecting downstream ecosystems and communities.The present investigation describes changes in Baralmos glacier and supraglacial lakes,along with related hazards,using meteorological observations,reanalysis products,and high-resolution satellite imagery from 2002 to 2022.Moreover,observations using Unmanned Aerial Vehicles(UAVs)were conducted between 2020 and 2022 to document recent variations.Reanalysis data suggested that there are no obvious trends in annual air temperature and precipitation except for a significant temperature rise in July(the warmest month)of about 1.34°C/decade(p<0.05)and precipitation decrease in December(p<0.05).During the last two decades of investigation,lake areas expanded from 20500 to 62800±21 m2,representing an approximately threefold increase,leading to increased mudflows in the Surkhob river and causing severe damage to property and infrastructures,most prominently during 2020 and 2022.The UAV data reveal an average decrease of-2.7±0.5 m in surface elevation downstream of Baralmos glacier between 2020 and 2022.This study is vital for implementing more intensive measures of the glacial environment and defining suitable mitigation strategies in the Pamir region.
