AIM: To evaluate pre-treatment factors associated with sustained virological response(SVR) in patients with hepatitis C virus(HCV) genotype 3 treated with peginterferon and ribavirin(RBV). METHODS: We retrospectively ...AIM: To evaluate pre-treatment factors associated with sustained virological response(SVR) in patients with hepatitis C virus(HCV) genotype 3 treated with peginterferon and ribavirin(RBV). METHODS: We retrospectively analyzed treatment naive, mono-infected HCV genotype 3 patients treated with peginterferon and RBV. Exclusion criteria included presence of other liver disease, alcohol consumption and African American or Asian ethnicity. The variables collected and compared between patients who achieved an SVR and patients who did not were as follows: gender, age, fibrosis stage, diabetes, body mass index,steatosis, INFL3 polymorphism, pre-treatment HCVRNA, type of peginterferon, RBV dose and adherence. RESULTS: A total of 107 patients treated between June, 2004 and March, 2013 were included. Mean treatment duration was 25.1(± 1.8) wk. Overall, 58%(62/107) of the patients achieved an SVR and 42%(45/107) did not. In the multivariate logistic regression analysis, pre-treatment HCV-RNA ≥ 600000 UI/m L(OR = 0.375, 95%CI: 0.153-0.919, P = 0.032) and advanced fibrosis(OR = 0.278, 95%CI: 0.113-0.684,P = 0.005) were significantly associated with low SVR rates. In patients with pre-treatment HCV-RNA ≥600000 UI/m L and advanced fibrosis, the probability of achieving an SVR was 29%(95%CI: 13.1-45.2).In patients with pre-treatment HCV-RNA < 600000UI/m L and mild to moderate fibrosis, the probability of achieving an SVR was 81%(95%CI: 68.8-93.4).CONCLUSION: In patients with HCV genotype 3infections the presence of advance fibrosis and high pre-treatment viral load might be associated with poor response to peginterferon plus RBV. These patients could benefit the most from new direct antiviral agentsbased regimes.展开更多
AIM: To estimate the progression of the hepatitis C virus(HCV) epidemic and measure the burden of HCVrelated morbidity and mortality. METHODS: Age- and gender-defined cohorts were used to follow the viremic population...AIM: To estimate the progression of the hepatitis C virus(HCV) epidemic and measure the burden of HCVrelated morbidity and mortality. METHODS: Age- and gender-defined cohorts were used to follow the viremic population in Argentina and estimate HCV incidence, prevalence, hepatic complications, and mortality. The relative impact of two scenarios on HCV-related outcomes was assessed:(1) increased sustained virologic response(SVR); and(2) increased SVR and treatment.RESULTS: Under scenario 1, SVR raised to 85%-95% in 2016. Compared to the base case scenario, there was a 0.3% reduction in prevalent cases and liverrelated deaths by 2030. Given low treatment rates, cases of hepatocellular carcinoma and decompensated cirrhosis decreased < 1%, in contrast to the base case in 2030. Under scenario 2, the same increases in SVR were modeled, with gradual increases in the annual diagnosed and treated populations. This scenario decreased prevalent infections 45%, liver-related deaths 55%, liver cancer cases 60%, and decompensated cirrhosis 55%, as compared to the base case by 2030. CONCLUSION: In Argentina, cases of end stage liver disease and liver-related deaths due to HCV are still growing, while its prevalence is decreasing. Increasing in SVR rates is not enough, and increasing in the number of patients diagnosed and candidates for treatment is needed to reduce the HCV disease burden. Based on this scenario, strategies to increase diagnosis and treatment uptake must be developed to reduce HCV burden in Argentina.展开更多
文摘AIM: To evaluate pre-treatment factors associated with sustained virological response(SVR) in patients with hepatitis C virus(HCV) genotype 3 treated with peginterferon and ribavirin(RBV). METHODS: We retrospectively analyzed treatment naive, mono-infected HCV genotype 3 patients treated with peginterferon and RBV. Exclusion criteria included presence of other liver disease, alcohol consumption and African American or Asian ethnicity. The variables collected and compared between patients who achieved an SVR and patients who did not were as follows: gender, age, fibrosis stage, diabetes, body mass index,steatosis, INFL3 polymorphism, pre-treatment HCVRNA, type of peginterferon, RBV dose and adherence. RESULTS: A total of 107 patients treated between June, 2004 and March, 2013 were included. Mean treatment duration was 25.1(± 1.8) wk. Overall, 58%(62/107) of the patients achieved an SVR and 42%(45/107) did not. In the multivariate logistic regression analysis, pre-treatment HCV-RNA ≥ 600000 UI/m L(OR = 0.375, 95%CI: 0.153-0.919, P = 0.032) and advanced fibrosis(OR = 0.278, 95%CI: 0.113-0.684,P = 0.005) were significantly associated with low SVR rates. In patients with pre-treatment HCV-RNA ≥600000 UI/m L and advanced fibrosis, the probability of achieving an SVR was 29%(95%CI: 13.1-45.2).In patients with pre-treatment HCV-RNA < 600000UI/m L and mild to moderate fibrosis, the probability of achieving an SVR was 81%(95%CI: 68.8-93.4).CONCLUSION: In patients with HCV genotype 3infections the presence of advance fibrosis and high pre-treatment viral load might be associated with poor response to peginterferon plus RBV. These patients could benefit the most from new direct antiviral agentsbased regimes.
文摘AIM: To estimate the progression of the hepatitis C virus(HCV) epidemic and measure the burden of HCVrelated morbidity and mortality. METHODS: Age- and gender-defined cohorts were used to follow the viremic population in Argentina and estimate HCV incidence, prevalence, hepatic complications, and mortality. The relative impact of two scenarios on HCV-related outcomes was assessed:(1) increased sustained virologic response(SVR); and(2) increased SVR and treatment.RESULTS: Under scenario 1, SVR raised to 85%-95% in 2016. Compared to the base case scenario, there was a 0.3% reduction in prevalent cases and liverrelated deaths by 2030. Given low treatment rates, cases of hepatocellular carcinoma and decompensated cirrhosis decreased < 1%, in contrast to the base case in 2030. Under scenario 2, the same increases in SVR were modeled, with gradual increases in the annual diagnosed and treated populations. This scenario decreased prevalent infections 45%, liver-related deaths 55%, liver cancer cases 60%, and decompensated cirrhosis 55%, as compared to the base case by 2030. CONCLUSION: In Argentina, cases of end stage liver disease and liver-related deaths due to HCV are still growing, while its prevalence is decreasing. Increasing in SVR rates is not enough, and increasing in the number of patients diagnosed and candidates for treatment is needed to reduce the HCV disease burden. Based on this scenario, strategies to increase diagnosis and treatment uptake must be developed to reduce HCV burden in Argentina.
