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面向多目标情景的大清河流域水资源利用权衡 被引量:7
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作者 姜鲁光 杨成 +1 位作者 封志明 刘晔 《资源科学》 CSSCI CSCD 北大核心 2021年第8期1649-1661,共13页
大清河流域是中国人水关系最为紧张的流域之一,也是推进京津冀区域协调发展的关键地域。针对未来不同发展情景,研究流域水资源利用的可能矛盾和应对策略,对于保障流域可持续发展至关重要。本文以大清河流域水土资源定量评估为依据,以水-... 大清河流域是中国人水关系最为紧张的流域之一,也是推进京津冀区域协调发展的关键地域。针对未来不同发展情景,研究流域水资源利用的可能矛盾和应对策略,对于保障流域可持续发展至关重要。本文以大清河流域水土资源定量评估为依据,以水-土-粮-人关系为纽带,研究了在惯性发展、休耕政策、农田节水3种情景下,流域水-粮关系的演变特征,提出了大清河流域水-粮权衡优化方案。研究表明:(1)大清河流域在当前土地利用结构下,粮食生产可实现自给略有盈余,但过多的农业生产耗水导致大清河流域地下水超采严重。(2)尽管已在大清河流域探索实施休耕政策,但当前局部休耕节约的水资源量远不及地下水超采量。若要实现控制地下水超采并使流域供需水平衡,需继续在白洋淀东部和南部平原扩大冬小麦休耕面积25.3万hm2,或从流域外增加引调水量7.2亿m3。(3)到2030年大清河流域将面临粮食安全和水资源安全的双重压力,水资源缺口将达13.8亿m3。为缓解流域水资源压力,未来需加大跨流域调水力度;同时,继续扩大冬小麦休耕面积也是缓解流域水资源矛盾的重要政策选项。 展开更多
关键词 农业种植制度 水资源安全 粮食安全 情景分析 权衡 大清河流域
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基于夜间灯光数据的1992—2020年老挝经济社会发展时空变化 被引量:5
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作者 姜鲁光 杨成 刘晔 《资源科学》 CSSCI CSCD 北大核心 2021年第12期2381-2392,共12页
老挝是中国的重要邻国,也是“一带一路”倡议和澜沧江—湄公河合作机制的重要合作伙伴,经济基础较为薄弱,但发展势头迅猛,经济社会发展深受周边国家的影响。本文以长时间序列夜间灯光数据为主要数据源,构建了一套适用于老挝实际的DMSP和... 老挝是中国的重要邻国,也是“一带一路”倡议和澜沧江—湄公河合作机制的重要合作伙伴,经济基础较为薄弱,但发展势头迅猛,经济社会发展深受周边国家的影响。本文以长时间序列夜间灯光数据为主要数据源,构建了一套适用于老挝实际的DMSP和VIIRS夜间灯光数据集成方法,通过对老挝全国夜间灯光的空间分异、灯光重心的时空演变、各行政区灯光高值区变化、主要城市及边境地区的灯光时空特征分析,系统研究了1992—2020年老挝经济社会发展空间格局及变化特征。研究表明:①2020年,老挝灯光高值区面积仅占国土总面积的1.0%,各省(市)发展水平差距明显,未来发展潜力巨大;②1992—2020年,灯光重心的空间变化轨迹呈鲜明的“V”字型特征,2006年后北部地区城市发展速度相对快于南部地区;③按2020年灯光高值区面积进行评价,老挝最大的5个城市依次是万象市、沙湾拿吉市、巴色市、琅勃拉邦市和沙耶武里市;④首都万象的城市首位度虽持续下降,但仍处于绝对优势,万象灯光高值区面积占老挝全国的1/3;⑤老泰边境是老挝边境经济社会活动的主要地区,老中边境地区面积虽小,但2013年以来灯光数据提升最快。精准认知老挝经济社会发展的空间格局及其时间变化,对于开展中老合作具有现实意义。 展开更多
关键词 夜间灯光 DMSP-OLS NPP-VIIRS 城市首位度 边境发展 时空变化 老挝
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朝鲜粮食生产能力及增产潜力影响因素研究
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作者 姜鲁光 刘晔 《世界地理研究》 CSSCI 北大核心 2023年第5期67-78,共12页
以朝鲜为研究区,综合利用统计数据、卫星遥感数据、数字高程数据和气候数据,通过时间序列分析、地理区域对比分析、GIS空间分析等方法,研究了朝鲜的粮食生产能力。在此基础上,将朝鲜粮食生产能力与中国、韩国两个主要邻国,以及自然条件... 以朝鲜为研究区,综合利用统计数据、卫星遥感数据、数字高程数据和气候数据,通过时间序列分析、地理区域对比分析、GIS空间分析等方法,研究了朝鲜的粮食生产能力。在此基础上,将朝鲜粮食生产能力与中国、韩国两个主要邻国,以及自然条件近似的中国辽宁省、河北省相关指标开展对比分析,研判了朝鲜粮食生产的相对水平与发展阶段。研究表明:①朝鲜现状粮食生产能力较低,与中国和韩国有较大差距,2019年朝鲜粮食单产为3800 kg/hm2,相当于中国1990年的单产水平,或韩国1970年单产水平;②朝鲜播种面积最大的粮食作物为水稻、玉米和大豆(合计83.6%),这与中国玉米、水稻、小麦并重(合计占比80.6%)及韩国水稻一枝独秀(占比82.6%)的种植结构差异明显;③朝鲜粮食生产能力波动明显,可以划分为稳定上涨期(1961—1991)、剧烈下降期(1992—1997)、逐步恢复期(1998年以来)三个阶段;④朝鲜的化肥产量和施用量虽然较低,但通过化肥、有机肥的综合施用,可以接近中国现阶段的农田肥料水平,保证耕地维持粮食生产能力的需要;⑤朝鲜当前具备灌溉条件的耕地面积占比达67%,灌溉能力与我国辽宁省、河北省基本相当;⑥朝鲜南部水热条件较为充足,可探索实行两年三熟或一年两熟耕作制度,通过提升复种指数进而提高粮食产量。假设实行一年两熟的耕作制度,朝鲜至少可增加83.14万吨粮食产量,至少保证319万人的粮食供给,增产潜力巨大。 展开更多
关键词 朝鲜 粮食生产 多源信息 增产潜力 比较研究
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内蒙古“牧光互补”开发适宜性及其与区域能源需求的耦合评价 被引量:4
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作者 杨丽雯 姜鲁光 赵慧霞 《干旱区资源与环境》 CSSCI CSCD 北大核心 2023年第5期122-129,共8页
“牧光互补”是草原畜牧业与光伏产业复合发展的新模式。发展“牧光互补”模式,对于高效利用太阳能资源、实现“双碳”目标具有重要意义。文中综合利用气象数据、自然地理与经济社会数据,运用空间主成分分析方法,评估了内蒙古自治区“... “牧光互补”是草原畜牧业与光伏产业复合发展的新模式。发展“牧光互补”模式,对于高效利用太阳能资源、实现“双碳”目标具有重要意义。文中综合利用气象数据、自然地理与经济社会数据,运用空间主成分分析方法,评估了内蒙古自治区“牧光互补”模式开发的适宜性;通过双变量局部空间自相关方法,对内蒙古电力需求与光伏发电潜力进行区域耦合分析。结果表明:1)内蒙古自治区“牧光互补”模式开发潜力巨大,开发适宜区共47.97万km^(2),约占全区面积的40.65%,集中分布在内蒙古中部与东部盟市。其中,“非常适宜区”面积为28.43万km^(2),“较适宜区”面积为10.28万km^(2),“一般适宜区”面积为9.26万km^(2)。2)内蒙古电力需求呈现“中部高,东西低”、“东部高,西部低”的特征。鄂尔多斯市东部、呼和浩特市与乌兰察布市南部、赤峰市与通辽市东部及呼伦贝尔市北部地区为高电力需求区,兴安盟与阿拉善盟两地为低电力需求区。3)内蒙古“牧光互补”模式开发适宜性与电力需求的区域耦合特征显著。高适宜性—高需求区约20.78万km^(2),高适宜性—低需求区约13.63万km^(2),低适宜性—高需求区约21.39万km^(2),低适宜性—低需求区约20.01万km^(2)。 展开更多
关键词 内蒙古 牧光互补 适宜性 需求—潜力
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Changes in rice cropping systems in the Poyang Lake Region, China during 2004-2010 被引量:25
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作者 LI Peng FENG Zhiming +2 位作者 jiang luguang LIU Yujie XIAO Xiangming 《Journal of Geographical Sciences》 SCIE CSCD 2012年第4期653-668,共16页
Rice cropping systems not only characterize comprehensive utilization intensity of agricultural resources but also serve as the basis to enhance the provision services of agro-ecosystems. Yet, it is always affected by... Rice cropping systems not only characterize comprehensive utilization intensity of agricultural resources but also serve as the basis to enhance the provision services of agro-ecosystems. Yet, it is always affected by external factors, like agricultural policies. Since 2004, seven consecutive No.1 Central Documents issued by the Central Government have focused on agricultural development in China. So far, few studies have investigated the effects of these policies on the rice cropping systems. In this study, based upon the long-term field survey information on paddy rice fields, we proposed a method to discriminate the rice cropping systems with Landsat data and quantified the spatial variations of rice cropping systems in the Poyang Lake Region (PLR), China. The results revealed that: (1) from 2004 to 2010, the decrement of paddy rice field was 46.76 km2 due to the land use change. (2) The temporal dynamics of NDVI derived from Landsat historical images could well characterize the temporal development of paddy rice fields. NDVI curves of single cropping rice fields showed one peak, while NDVI curves of double cropping rice fields displayed two peaks annually. NDVI of fallow field fluctuated between 0.15 and 0.40. NDVI of the flooded field during the transplanting period was relatively low, about 0.20±0.05, while NDVI during the period of panicle initiation to heading reached the highest level (above 0.80). Then, several temporal windows were determined based upon the NDVI variations of different rice cropping systems. (3) With the spatial pattern of paddy rice field and the NDVI threshold within optimum temporal windows, the spatial variation of rice cropping systems was very obvious, with an increased multiple cropping index of rice about 20.2% from 2004 to 2010. The result indicates that agricultural policies have greatly enhanced the food provision services in the PLR, China. 展开更多
关键词 rice cropping systems NDVI temporal windows threshold method LANDSAT the Poyang Lake region(PLR)
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Rubber plantation and its relationship with topographical factors in the border region of China, Laos and Myanmar 被引量:18
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作者 LIU xiaona FENG Zhiming +4 位作者 jiang luguang LI Peng LIAO Chenhua YANG Yanzhao YOU Zhen 《Journal of Geographical Sciences》 SCIE CSCD 2013年第6期1019-1040,共22页
Rubber plantation is the major land use type in Southeast Asia. Monitoring the spa- tial-temporal pattern of rubber plantation is significant for regional land resource development, eco-environmental protection, and m... Rubber plantation is the major land use type in Southeast Asia. Monitoring the spa- tial-temporal pattern of rubber plantation is significant for regional land resource development, eco-environmental protection, and maintaining border security. With remote sensing tech- nologies, we analyzed the rubber distribution pattern and spatial-temporal dynamic; with GIS and a newly proposed index of Planted Intensity (PI), we further quantified the impacts and limits of topographical factors on rubber plantation in the border region of China, Laos and Myanmar (BRCLM) between 1980 and 2010. The results showed that: (1) As the dominant land use type in this border region, the acreage of rubber plantation was 6014 km2 in 2010, accounting for 8.17% of the total area. Viewing from the rubber plantation structure, the ratio of mature- (〉10 year) and young rubber plantation (〈 10 year) was 5:7. (2) From 1980 to 2010, rubber plantation expanded significantly in BRCLM, from 705 km2 to 6014 km2, nearly nine times. The distribution characteristics of rubber plantation varied from concentrated toward dispersed, from border inside to outside, and expanded further in all directions with Jinghong City as the center. (3) Restricted by the topographical factors, more than 4/5 proportion of rubber plantation concentrated in the appropriate elevation gradients between 600 and 1000 m, rarely occurred in elevations beyond 1200 m in BRCLM. Nearly 2/3 of rubber plantation concentrated on slopes of 8^-25~, rarely distributed on slopes above 35~. Rubber plantation was primarily distributed in south and east aspects, relatively few in north and west aspects. Rubber planted intensity displayed the similar distribution trend. (4) Comparative studies of rubber plantation in different countries showed that there was a remarkable increase in area at higher elevations and steeper slopes in China, while there were large appropriate topog- raphical gradients for rubber plantation in Laos and Myanmar which benefited China for rubber trans-boundary expansion. (5) Rubber plantation in BRCLM will definitely expend cross borders of China to the territories of Laos and Myanmar, and the continuous expansion in the border region of China will be inevitable. 展开更多
关键词 rubber plantation spatial-temporal analysis topographical factors opium poppy substitution planting (OPSP) the border region of China Laos and Myanmar (BRCLM)
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Where Should the Start Zone Be Located for Xiong'an New Area? A Land Use Perspective 被引量:3
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作者 jiang luguang LV Peiyi +1 位作者 FENG Zhiming LIU Ye 《Journal of Resources and Ecology》 CSCD 2018年第4期374-381,共8页
China announced plans on April 1,2017 to create Xiong'an New Area,a new economic zone about 110 km southwest of Beijing.The new area of national significance covers the three counties of Xiongxian,Rongcheng and Anxin... China announced plans on April 1,2017 to create Xiong'an New Area,a new economic zone about 110 km southwest of Beijing.The new area of national significance covers the three counties of Xiongxian,Rongcheng and Anxin in Hebei Province,and is home to Baiyangdian,a major wetland in northern China.It will cover around 100 km2 initially(called "Starting Zone") and will be expanded to 200 km2 in the mid-term and about 2000 km2 in the long term.In this context,it is important to assess the land use pattern for the new area's planning and development.Based on remote sensing interpretation of Landsat OLI images,we examine the current land use features,the potential for built-up land saving and intensive use,and the spatial variation of arable land quality.The results indicate that the arable lands,built-up lands and wetlands account for around 60%,20% and 10%,respectively.The potential for rural built-up land saving and intensive use is quite large.The arable land quality and use intensity in Rongcheng and Anxin counties are much better than that of Xiongxian.The pros and cons for three potential options for the Starting Zone are listed and compared.The eastern area of Rongcheng county,to the north of Baiyangdian,is believed to be the most suitable Starting Zone.Policy recommendations for built-up land expansion,farmland saving and flood risk mitigation for Xiong'an New Area are also proposed in this paper. 展开更多
关键词 Xiong'an New Area land use start zone options comparison policy options
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