In this study, we focused on describing the trends of Extreme Precipitation Indices (EPI) in Senegal and analyzing the significant links between their variability and key climatic factors such as the El Niño-Sout...In this study, we focused on describing the trends of Extreme Precipitation Indices (EPI) in Senegal and analyzing the significant links between their variability and key climatic factors such as the El Niño-Southern Oscillation Index (ONI), the Land-Ocean Temperature Index (LOTI), and the Land Surface Temperature Index (LST). Based on a century of daily rainfall data from various Senegalese stations, this study utilized twelve (12) EPIs calculated according to the definitions of the Expert Team on Climate Change Detection and Indices (ETCCDI). To analyze the temporal variation characteristics of extreme precipitation, the Mann-Kendall (MK) test was employed to perform a uniformity test on the precipitation data series. A dependence method through differentiation was used to remove data trends and observe correlations between the climate change indices ONI, LOTI, LST, and EPIs. An approach based on lagged correlations between the ONI index and the EPIs was applied to evaluate the predictability of extreme precipitation patterns in Senegal. Trend analysis indicates a significant decrease in total precipitation and frequency and intensity indices in most stations, while duration indices show no clear trend. Regarding their interannual variability, the analysis shows negative correlations between ONI and total precipitation, consistent with the known influence of ENSO on Sahel precipitation. Correlations with LOTI and LST indices, on the other hand, suggest that the Clausius-Clapeyron theory does not hold at Senegal’s latitudes, but that adjacent Atlantic ocean warming influence is crucial in modulating extreme precipitation patterns. Finally, on the predictability of extreme precipitation, the study shows a significant signal up to three months in advance with ENSO for 58% of the EPIs and up to two months in advance for 90% of the EPIs.展开更多
The SST variability during the summer period in the northeastern tropical Atlantic region (NTA) is characterized by an alternation of warming/cooling which represents 87% of the total variability. The aim of this pape...The SST variability during the summer period in the northeastern tropical Atlantic region (NTA) is characterized by an alternation of warming/cooling which represents 87% of the total variability. The aim of this paper is to study the atmospheric responses as well as the precipitation associated with these oceanic conditions. Based on Reynolds’s SST from 1982 to 2019, a normalized Northern Tropical Atlantic index (NTAI) is computed into the region between 15° - 25°W;12° - 16°N and a composite analysis is then performed. It is shown that the NTAI is significantly correlated with the SST’s first principal component mode (PC1) in this region. Moreover, the composite of SST anomalies and atmospheric parameters exhibits a strong local ocean-atmosphere interaction which highly impacts the large-scale atmospheric circulation in West Africa, particularly in the western Sahel. An in-depth analysis shows that the atmospheric response to the warm (cold) SST is a cyclonic (anticyclonic) circulation in the lower layers near the West Africa Coast. This cyclonic (anticyclonic) circulation strengthens/reduces the moisture transport towards the continent in the low levels. In the middle layers of the atmosphere (500 hPa), the warm (cold) composite is associated with a decrease (increase) in the intensity of the African Easterly Jet (AEJ) whereas, in the upper atmosphere (200 hPa), the strengthening (weakening) of the Tropical Easterly Jet (TEJ) is observed. With regard to the composite precipitation field, a positive/negative SST anomaly is associated with significantly enhanced/reduced rainfall in the western Sahelian region. It is found that this relationship (correlation) increases as we are closer to the coasts.展开更多
This study aims to examine the atmospheric conditions characterising fog phenomena on the Senegalese coast focusing on two specific instances that occurred on April 3 and April 30,2023.These events were detected by th...This study aims to examine the atmospheric conditions characterising fog phenomena on the Senegalese coast focusing on two specific instances that occurred on April 3 and April 30,2023.These events were detected by the LIDAR Ceilometer installed at LPAOSF/ESP/UCAD and confirmed on the METARs of the meteorological stations at Dakar and Diass airports.The LIDAR’s backscatter signal showed that the fog of April 3 started around midnight with a vertical extension at 100 m altitude and dissipated around 10 a.m.The April 30 event characterized by a good vertical extension from the surface up to 300 m above sea level,was triggered just after 2 a.m.and lasted around 3 hours.The results showed that a decrease in temperature,accompanied by an increase in humidity and light wind,is favorable for the triggering and persistence of fog.Sea Level Pressure(SLP)anomaly fields show two distinct configurations.The April 3 event was characterized by a zonal dipole of SLP anomalies between the Sahara and the northern Senegalese coast,while the April 30 event was characterized by a meridional dipole between the Sahara and the Gulf of Guinea area as far as the equatorial Atlantic.A weakening of the pressure around the study area was observed in both cases,allowing moisture advection to favor the onset of fog.The hovmoller diagrams of relative humidity and wind show that a good vertical extension of humidity associated with a westerly wind in the lower layers plays an important role in the formation and persistence of fog.The presence of dry air associated with a weak easterly wind in the middle layers could explain the low vertical extension of the fog on April 3.A strong wind in the lower layers would be responsible for the premature dissipation of the April 30 fog.展开更多
文摘In this study, we focused on describing the trends of Extreme Precipitation Indices (EPI) in Senegal and analyzing the significant links between their variability and key climatic factors such as the El Niño-Southern Oscillation Index (ONI), the Land-Ocean Temperature Index (LOTI), and the Land Surface Temperature Index (LST). Based on a century of daily rainfall data from various Senegalese stations, this study utilized twelve (12) EPIs calculated according to the definitions of the Expert Team on Climate Change Detection and Indices (ETCCDI). To analyze the temporal variation characteristics of extreme precipitation, the Mann-Kendall (MK) test was employed to perform a uniformity test on the precipitation data series. A dependence method through differentiation was used to remove data trends and observe correlations between the climate change indices ONI, LOTI, LST, and EPIs. An approach based on lagged correlations between the ONI index and the EPIs was applied to evaluate the predictability of extreme precipitation patterns in Senegal. Trend analysis indicates a significant decrease in total precipitation and frequency and intensity indices in most stations, while duration indices show no clear trend. Regarding their interannual variability, the analysis shows negative correlations between ONI and total precipitation, consistent with the known influence of ENSO on Sahel precipitation. Correlations with LOTI and LST indices, on the other hand, suggest that the Clausius-Clapeyron theory does not hold at Senegal’s latitudes, but that adjacent Atlantic ocean warming influence is crucial in modulating extreme precipitation patterns. Finally, on the predictability of extreme precipitation, the study shows a significant signal up to three months in advance with ENSO for 58% of the EPIs and up to two months in advance for 90% of the EPIs.
文摘The SST variability during the summer period in the northeastern tropical Atlantic region (NTA) is characterized by an alternation of warming/cooling which represents 87% of the total variability. The aim of this paper is to study the atmospheric responses as well as the precipitation associated with these oceanic conditions. Based on Reynolds’s SST from 1982 to 2019, a normalized Northern Tropical Atlantic index (NTAI) is computed into the region between 15° - 25°W;12° - 16°N and a composite analysis is then performed. It is shown that the NTAI is significantly correlated with the SST’s first principal component mode (PC1) in this region. Moreover, the composite of SST anomalies and atmospheric parameters exhibits a strong local ocean-atmosphere interaction which highly impacts the large-scale atmospheric circulation in West Africa, particularly in the western Sahel. An in-depth analysis shows that the atmospheric response to the warm (cold) SST is a cyclonic (anticyclonic) circulation in the lower layers near the West Africa Coast. This cyclonic (anticyclonic) circulation strengthens/reduces the moisture transport towards the continent in the low levels. In the middle layers of the atmosphere (500 hPa), the warm (cold) composite is associated with a decrease (increase) in the intensity of the African Easterly Jet (AEJ) whereas, in the upper atmosphere (200 hPa), the strengthening (weakening) of the Tropical Easterly Jet (TEJ) is observed. With regard to the composite precipitation field, a positive/negative SST anomaly is associated with significantly enhanced/reduced rainfall in the western Sahelian region. It is found that this relationship (correlation) increases as we are closer to the coasts.
文摘This study aims to examine the atmospheric conditions characterising fog phenomena on the Senegalese coast focusing on two specific instances that occurred on April 3 and April 30,2023.These events were detected by the LIDAR Ceilometer installed at LPAOSF/ESP/UCAD and confirmed on the METARs of the meteorological stations at Dakar and Diass airports.The LIDAR’s backscatter signal showed that the fog of April 3 started around midnight with a vertical extension at 100 m altitude and dissipated around 10 a.m.The April 30 event characterized by a good vertical extension from the surface up to 300 m above sea level,was triggered just after 2 a.m.and lasted around 3 hours.The results showed that a decrease in temperature,accompanied by an increase in humidity and light wind,is favorable for the triggering and persistence of fog.Sea Level Pressure(SLP)anomaly fields show two distinct configurations.The April 3 event was characterized by a zonal dipole of SLP anomalies between the Sahara and the northern Senegalese coast,while the April 30 event was characterized by a meridional dipole between the Sahara and the Gulf of Guinea area as far as the equatorial Atlantic.A weakening of the pressure around the study area was observed in both cases,allowing moisture advection to favor the onset of fog.The hovmoller diagrams of relative humidity and wind show that a good vertical extension of humidity associated with a westerly wind in the lower layers plays an important role in the formation and persistence of fog.The presence of dry air associated with a weak easterly wind in the middle layers could explain the low vertical extension of the fog on April 3.A strong wind in the lower layers would be responsible for the premature dissipation of the April 30 fog.
